Polymarket Trader

MrKangaroo

@MrKangarooX

0x614780d5456877326c5c7e50f5afa417a767d34e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $216.34
Realized PnL: $6.3K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $3.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $996.5
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.3%
Current value: $91.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $408.75
Multiplier: 5.48x
User PnL: $28.25

Yes position

Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.19
Potential payout: $129.5
Potential profit: $129.31
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.32

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $50.7
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $9.3
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$0.9

No position

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 31.5%
Current value: $15.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $34.25
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: -$0.75

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $21.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $28.75
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$0.25

No position

Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 64%
Current value: $19.2
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $10.8
Multiplier: 1.56x
User PnL: -$0.9

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $5.85
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $4.15
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: -$0.05

No position

Will GameStop acquire eBay?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $8.65
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $1.35
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: -$0.15

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Everton vs. Liverpool end in a draw?

Ends Dec 7, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $818.23

Yes position

Will annual inflation increase by 2.7% in July?

Ends Aug 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $669.01

Yes position

Will annual inflation increase by 2.3% or less in April?

Ends May 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $563.86

Yes position

Will annual inflation increase by 2.9% in August?

Ends Sep 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $469.2

Yes position

Will annual inflation increase by 2.4% in May?

Ends Jun 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $442.19

Yes position

Will annual inflation increase by 2.6% or more in June?

Ends Jul 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $340.36

Yes position

Will annual inflation increase by 3.0% in September?

Ends Oct 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $327

Yes position

Will annual inflation increase by 2.8% in February?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $277.2

Yes position

Will annual inflation increase by 2.4% in February?

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $257.16

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $240.1

No position

Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech?

Ends Feb 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $207.59

No position

Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Fox News Oval Office interview?

Ends Jan 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $174

Yes position

Will annual inflation increase by 2.4% or less in March?

Ends Apr 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $168.4

Yes position

2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 65-104

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $156

No position

Will Trump say "doge" or "Dogecoin" during his inauguration speech?

Ends Feb 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $148.38

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $147.2

Yes position

Will JD Vance clap 100 times or more during the State of the Union?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $139.57

No position

Will annual inflation increase by 2.6% or less in August?

Ends Sep 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $127.86

No position

Will Trump say "Hitler" on The Joe Rogan Experience?

Ends Oct 25, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $120.85

No position

Will Apple remain largest company through Sep 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $118.69

No position

Atlas global browser market share 1%+ on October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102.9

No position

MSFT shareholders vote for Bitcoin investment?

Ends Dec 10, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100.8

Yes position

Will 'Venom: The Last Dance' gross between $45-53m opening weekend?

Ends Oct 28, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.31

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Australia win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 5% 20 shares
Will Australia win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 22% 10 shares
Will Australia win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 22% 10 shares
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Yes 43% 50 shares
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 59% 10 shares
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

No 33% 50 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 92.2% 100 shares
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

No 8% 9.98 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 12% 250 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Yes 67% 60 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Yes 86% 60 shares
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?

Yes 27% 10.89 shares