Polymarket Trader

0x614919F1Cd2e20955f84e18f320e33876F848d2c-1772310465585

0x614919f1cd2e20955f84e18f320e33876f848d2c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.38K
Realized PnL: $1.81K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $2.71K
Potential payout: $3.07K
Potential profit: $352.72
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $118.18

Yes position

Will April McClain Delaney be the Democratic nominee for MD-06?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $477.18
Potential payout: $564.71
Potential profit: $87.53
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$2.82

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $187.64
Potential payout: $224.72
Potential profit: $37.08
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: -$12.36

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $898.94

No position

Will the price of Solana be above $90 on March 3?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $154.2

No position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: $94.34

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.88

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.18

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.39

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.8

Yes position

Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.53

No position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: $46.05

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.49

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.56

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.94

Yes position

Starmer out by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $22.34

Yes position

Will the price of Solana be above $80 on March 3?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.42

Yes position

Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: $18.75

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $18.63

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.54

Up position

Solana Up or Down - March 8, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.36

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.91

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 8, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.91

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.99

Up position

XRP Up or Down - March 8, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.01

G2 Esports position

Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.72

Up position

XRP Up or Down - March 8, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.45

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?

No 84.6% 3,067.1 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in June?

Yes 61.6% 162.22 shares
Will April McClain Delaney be the Democratic nominee for MD-06?

Yes 85% 564.71 shares
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Yes 89% 224.72 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in June?

Yes 10% 726.71 shares
Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs

G2 Esports 42.9% 466.05 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in June?

Yes 27.5% 726.71 shares
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Yes 74% 540.54 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 66.5% 2,945.04 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

No 15% 781.25 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 43.1% 1,171.58 shares
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

No 40% 1,783.87 shares