Polymarket Trader

0x6153...b29f

0x6153ae02e37e89ddd5f383809bd1377cfd8ab29f

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $311.75
Realized PnL: $198.05
Win rate: 90.9%
Open positions: 22
Closed positions: 11
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.7%
Current value: $197.47
Potential payout: $2.97K
Potential profit: $2.77K
Multiplier: 15.04x
User PnL: -$66.34

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 March 30-April 5?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.41K
Potential profit: $2.41K
User PnL: -$8.94

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.96K
Potential profit: $1.96K
User PnL: -$9.81

Yes position

Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.76K
Potential profit: $1.76K
User PnL: -$93.45

Yes position

Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.6%
Current value: $95.94
Potential payout: $1.73K
Potential profit: $1.63K
Multiplier: 18.02x
User PnL: -$90.04

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 3?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $453
Potential profit: $453
User PnL: -$27.5

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $408.33
Potential profit: $408.33
User PnL: -$4.9

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 8?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $152.28
Potential profit: $152.28
User PnL: -$9.14

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.38
Potential profit: $83.38
User PnL: -$9.17

Yes position

Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?

Ends Sep 16, 2026

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $18.35
Potential payout: $66.83
Potential profit: $48.49
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: -$0.7

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 20?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $65.67
Potential profit: $65.67
User PnL: -$9.19

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 9?

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $65.67
Potential profit: $65.67
User PnL: -$9.19

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $63.49
Potential profit: $63.49
User PnL: -$9.24

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 March 30-April 5?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $56.85
Potential profit: $56.85
User PnL: -$4.49

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on April 2?

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52.46
Potential profit: $52.46
User PnL: -$9.08

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 6?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $46.35
Potential profit: $46.35
User PnL: -$9.27

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 20?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.6
Potential profit: $38.6
User PnL: -$9.26

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 4?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.44
Potential profit: $34.44
User PnL: -$9.3

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 13?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.44
Potential profit: $23.44
User PnL: -$9.38

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 22?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.89
Potential profit: $22.89
User PnL: -$9.38

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 17?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.75
Potential profit: $19.75
User PnL: -$9.43

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 9?

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.89
Potential profit: $18.89
User PnL: -$9.45

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 1?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.81

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 17?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.13

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 14?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.34

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 6?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.57

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on April 22?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.3

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.83

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.45

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 8?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.84

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 20?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.6

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: $1.78

Yes position

Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$2.61

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Yes 6.4% 124.69 shares
Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Yes 18% 47 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 10.2% 912.94 shares
Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Yes 23.6% 47 shares
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.3% 890 shares
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Yes 7.3% 994.86 shares
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Yes 4.7% 204.04 shares
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Yes 9.4% 102.5 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8.3% 1,481.2 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8.3% 575.3 shares
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.1% 890 shares
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Yes 6.2% 118.89 shares