Polymarket Trader

0x6158f604F443fB6d537E09729807fe4799d0fA72-1779130786683

0x6158f604f443fb6d537e09729807fe4799d0fa72

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $52.58
Realized PnL: $487.59
Win rate: 33.3%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 15
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $17.22
Potential payout: $1.08K
Potential profit: $1.06K
Multiplier: 62.50x
User PnL: $7.22

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $294.12
Potential profit: $294.12
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $232.56
Potential profit: $232.56
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 18%
Current value: $35.37
Potential payout: $196.49
Potential profit: $161.12
Multiplier: 5.56x
User PnL: $25.37

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $108.99
Potential profit: $108.99
User PnL: -$20.92

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $58.82
Potential profit: $58.82
User PnL: -$20

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $365.28

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $191.96

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.76

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.33

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5.13

Yes position

Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5.5

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 17%
Multiplier: 5.88x
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$8.57

Yes position

Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$9.48

Yes position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$11

Yes position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$11.12

Yes position

Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$19

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$21.6

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$36.32

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Yes 5.1% 196.49 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Yes 0.9% 1,076 shares
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 6% 166.67 shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Yes 0.2% 500 shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Yes 0.3% 333.33 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Yes 0.3% 333.33 shares
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?

Yes 2.4% 125 shares
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Yes 3.4% 294.12 shares
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Yes 35% 22.86 shares
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Yes 35% 344.54 shares
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?

Yes 2.9% 100 shares