Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.4%
- Current value
- $77.98
- Potential payout
- $403.01
- Potential profit
- $325.03
- Multiplier
- 5.17x
- User PnL
- $42.98
Polymarket Trader
0x615f...b3ab
0x615fe10be7153fc2517cdef86249448fb0feb3ab
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $264.62
- Realized PnL
- $206
- Win rate
- 54.2%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $321.95
- Potential profit
- $321.95
- User PnL
- -$70
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.7%
- Current value
- $75.06
- Potential payout
- $244.88
- Potential profit
- $169.82
- Multiplier
- 3.26x
- User PnL
- $35.16
Yes position
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.2%
- Current value
- $32.99
- Potential payout
- $148.62
- Potential profit
- $115.63
- Multiplier
- 4.50x
- User PnL
- -$22.01
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10%
- Current value
- $13.09
- Potential payout
- $131.58
- Potential profit
- $118.49
- Multiplier
- 10.05x
- User PnL
- -$1.91
Yes position
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.3%
- Current value
- $18.73
- Potential payout
- $108.3
- Potential profit
- $89.58
- Multiplier
- 5.78x
- User PnL
- -$11.27
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $42.97
- Potential payout
- $54.05
- Potential profit
- $11.08
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $2.97
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.8%
- Current value
- $3.8
- Potential payout
- $20.25
- Potential profit
- $16.45
- Multiplier
- 5.33x
- User PnL
- -$1.2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82.07
Yes position
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.92
Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.45
Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.63
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Any Other Score?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.85
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- $17.16
Yes position
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.28
Yes position
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.46
Yes position
Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.19
Yes position
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.43
Yes position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.58
Yes position
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.2%
- Multiplier
- 3.31x
- User PnL
- $3.35
Yes position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.87
Yes position
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7.4
Yes position
Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8
Yes position
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$9.54
Yes position
Will the April 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.55
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?Yes 10% 200 shares
- Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?Yes 55% 31.25 shares
- Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?Yes 32% 31.25 shares
- Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?Yes 41% 121.95 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 74% 54.05 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 24.7% 20.24 shares
- Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?Yes 23% 21.74 shares
- Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?Yes 23% 21.74 shares
- Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?Yes 67% 74.63 shares
- Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?Yes 7.2% 143.74 shares
- Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?Yes 8% 100 shares
- Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?Yes 37.9% 105.64 shares