No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$10
Polymarket Trader
jcb01
0x616543aa787fafc198daf62a34fefd41df22a01a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $196.91
- Realized PnL
- $2.02K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Y
Yes position
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.4%
- Current value
- $94.56
- Potential payout
- $488.7
- Potential profit
- $394.14
- Multiplier
- 5.17x
- User PnL
- -$5.44
Y
Yes position
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 27%
- Current value
- $102.35
- Potential payout
- $379.06
- Potential profit
- $276.71
- Multiplier
- 3.70x
- User PnL
- $2.35
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 10?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $278.25
- Potential profit
- $278.25
- User PnL
- -$100
Khamzat Chimaev position
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $124.25
- Potential profit
- $124.25
- User PnL
- -$99.4
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $257.7
Yes position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $161.73
Yes position
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 9, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $147.9
Yes position
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 29, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $134.87
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $115.56
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110.67
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 24%
- Multiplier
- 4.17x
- User PnL
- $102.58
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $96.74
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.69
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $93.64
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $73.68
No position
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.22
Yes position
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 5, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.3
No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.61
Yes position
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 1, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.55
No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $54.2
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50
Yes position
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 14, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $47.06
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $44.17
Yes position
Will Israel strike 2 countries in March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $41.69
Yes position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.06
No position
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.28
Yes position
Houthi strike on Israel by April 15, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.27
No position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.92
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Yes 26.4% 379.06 shares
- Iran full airspace closure by July 15?Yes 20.5% 488.7 shares
- Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?Yes 99.9% 108.69 shares
- Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?Yes 92% 108.7 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 32% 256.41 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 14% 625 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 55% 173.01 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June?No 94.8% 118.33 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 16% 625 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 39% 256.41 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 57.8% 173.02 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 31% 169.66 shares