Polymarket Trader

0x6170227982CEba589157F21BDE5477169f7Dfe84-1723260234318

0x6170227982ceba589157f21bde5477169f7dfe84

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $108.52
Realized PnL: $1.09K
Win rate: 29.2%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Trump's approval rating be between 43.0% and 43.4% on May 9?

Ends May 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.88K
Potential profit: $1.88K
User PnL: -$3

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - October 14, 1AM ET

Ends Oct 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.36K
Potential profit: $1.36K
User PnL: -$713.95

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 22, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $750.22
Potential profit: $750.22
User PnL: -$375.11

Up position

Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $516.06
Potential profit: $516.06
User PnL: -$258.03

Down position

Solana Up or Down - January 18, 3AM ET

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $455.8
Potential profit: $455.8
User PnL: -$232.41

Down position

Solana Up or Down - January 9, 4AM ET

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $438.71
Potential profit: $438.71
User PnL: -$222.94

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 5AM ET

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400.04
Potential profit: $400.04
User PnL: -$203.92

Up position

Solana Up or Down - March 21, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $237.63
Potential profit: $237.63
User PnL: -$118.81

No position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $108.52
Potential payout: $121.25
Potential profit: $12.73
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $10.31

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET

Ends Oct 24, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100.22
Potential profit: $100.22
User PnL: -$51.11

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Solana Up or Down - July 4, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $360.55

Down position

Solana Up or Down - May 6, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $358.57

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 2AM ET

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $103.54

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 3AM ET

Ends Dec 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87.18

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - December 7, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.8

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET

Ends Oct 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.09

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET

Ends Oct 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.66

No position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 60.7%
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by November 7?

Ends Nov 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Bob Menery enter the ring against Johnny Manziel?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 39.4%
Multiplier: 2.54x
User PnL: $0

No position

SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Bob Menery enter the ring against Johnny Manziel?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the AfD win less than 10% of the vote in the German election?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Will the Republican candidate win Iowa by 10.0% or more?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.02

No position

Will Greta Thunberg enter Gaza by September 10?

Ends Sep 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will the U.S. national debt hit $37 trillion in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.11

Yes position

USA wins the most medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?

Ends Aug 11, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.23

No position

Will Michelle Obama win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.24

No position

Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.44

No position

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2024 meeting?

Ends Sep 18, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.61

No position

2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 215+

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.81

No position

2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, D Senate, R House

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$1.1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET

Down 48.6% 245.03 shares
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET

Down 52.7% 245.04 shares
Solana Up or Down - March 21, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

Up 50% 233.86 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 2AM ET

Down 49% 4.23 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 2AM ET

Down 49% 20.94 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 2AM ET

Down 50% 232.76 shares
Solana Up or Down - January 18, 3AM ET

Down 51% 455.8 shares
Solana Up or Down - January 9, 4AM ET

Down 50.8% 438.71 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 5AM ET

Down 51% 400.04 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 3AM ET

Down 50.3% 175.29 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - December 7, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET

Down 51% 136.33 shares
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 7?

Yes 9% 1,054.98 shares