Yes position
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $92.38
- Potential payout
- $145.47
- Potential profit
- $53.1
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- -$17.62
Polymarket Trader
xavieam
0x6172853e653683ecc3c5525940f9873a2fdbc097
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $109.01
- Realized PnL
- $132.48
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $58.82
- Potential profit
- $58.82
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 8 and June 14, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $16.63
- Potential payout
- $16.63
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.63
No position
Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by March 15?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.15
- Potential profit
- $15.15
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46
Yes position
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.97
Yes position
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- $7.74
No position
GPT-5.5 released by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.99
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.22
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.63
Yes position
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.98
No position
Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.45
Yes position
Will Mike Vrabel win NFL Coach of the Year?
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.07
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.01
No position
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.92
No position
Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.82
Yes position
Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $3.79
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.38
No position
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.63
No position
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.36
Yes position
Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.28
No position
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.21
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2
No position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 1?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.85
Yes position
Will PSG win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.85
No position
Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.55
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 28?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.51
No position
Will Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.28
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 8 and June 14, 2026?No 96.2% 16.63 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 85% 58.82 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 96% 68.96 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 87% 68.97 shares
- Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?Yes 99.1% 23.58 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 87.5% 16 shares
- Anthropic IPO before 2027?Yes 75.6% 145.47 shares
- Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?Yes 97.8% 76.97 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?No 99.6% 16.99 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 99.3% 34.24 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?No 99.3% 19.66 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?No 96.6% 19.67 shares