Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $1.12
- Potential payout
- $202.83
- Potential profit
- $201.71
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$8.88
Polymarket Trader
DrunkSanta
0x618695c2a277628ae2b4d1b15af9edb018406816
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $75.12
- Realized PnL
- $436.13
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.3%
- Current value
- $18.81
- Potential payout
- $183.49
- Potential profit
- $164.68
- Multiplier
- 9.76x
- User PnL
- -$1.19
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.8%
- Current value
- $12.72
- Potential payout
- $164.13
- Potential profit
- $151.41
- Multiplier
- 12.90x
- User PnL
- -$5.17
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.6%
- Current value
- $26.77
- Potential payout
- $124.22
- Potential profit
- $97.45
- Multiplier
- 4.64x
- User PnL
- $6.77
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.4%
- Current value
- $15.71
- Potential payout
- $117.65
- Potential profit
- $101.95
- Multiplier
- 7.49x
- User PnL
- -$4.29
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $44.68
- Potential profit
- $44.68
- User PnL
- -$9.83
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $277.19
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $42.21
Yes position
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.47
Yes position
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by December 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.71
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.66
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.76
Yes position
Will Usyk beat Fury?
Ends Dec 21, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.83
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.71
Yes position
Will Everton win on 2025-10-05?
Ends Oct 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.2
Yes position
Will Tottenham win on 2025-10-04?
Ends Oct 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.76
Yes position
Will Ukraine win on 2025-10-10?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.65
Yes position
Will AC Milan win on 2025-09-28?
Ends Sep 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.21
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.07
Yes position
Will Napoli win on 2025-10-01?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.92
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.89
Yes position
Will Chelsea win on 2025-10-04?
Ends Oct 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.86
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 2?
Ends Oct 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.77
Yes position
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-10-01?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.64
Yes position
Will Celta de Vigo win on 2025-10-02?
Ends Oct 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.45
Yes position
Will Chelsea win on 2025-09-30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33
Yes position
Will Lyon win on 2025-10-02?
Ends Oct 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.28
Yes position
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-10-05?
Ends Oct 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.23
Yes position
Will Newcastle win on 2025-10-05?
Ends Oct 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.2
Yes position
Will FC Porto win on 2025-10-02?
Ends Oct 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.13
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes 27% 129.03 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes 31% 129.03 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?Yes 4.9% 202.82 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes 28% 151.51 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?Yes 2.2% 400 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes 33% 151.52 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?Yes 5% 400 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 10.9% 164.13 shares
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 10.9% 183.49 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 16.1% 124.22 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 17% 117.65 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 10.5% 100 shares