Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 7%
- Current value
- $25.5
- Potential payout
- $364.27
- Potential profit
- $338.77
- Multiplier
- 14.29x
- User PnL
- -$54.19
Polymarket Trader
mihyu
0x6188e6cbf222e89eee7a673e305ee249f26115c0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $25.5
- Realized PnL
- $109.06
- Win rate
- 68.8%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 16
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $129
- Potential profit
- $129
- User PnL
- -$95.92
Yes position
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $64.91
- Potential profit
- $64.91
- User PnL
- -$3.96
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $123.24
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.66
No position
Will another company be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.2
Yes position
Claude 4.8 released by May 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.43
Yes position
Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.4
Yes position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Multiplier
- 17.70x
- User PnL
- $6
Yes position
Will Santa deliver between 8,200,000,000 and 8,300,000,000 gifts for Christmas 2025?
Ends Dec 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.05
Yes position
Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.8
Yes position
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.6
No position
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.92
Yes position
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$54.6
Yes position
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$58.2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?Yes 98.1% 158.34 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?Yes 68% 158.34 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?Yes 29% 520 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No 84% 114 shares
- Will another company be accused of insider trading?No 81% 95.8 shares
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes 20% 200 shares
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes 17% 200 shares
- Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No 95.8% 50 shares
- Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Yes 96% 7.48 shares
- US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Yes 10% 10 shares
- Lighter Airdrop on December 29?Yes 62% 4.07 shares
- Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No 93.1% 50 shares