Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $81.43
- Potential payout
- $95.24
- Potential profit
- $13.81
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $1.43
Polymarket Trader
Thorneharts
0x618ce087f618f51e34796231dacd1b2f90cef181
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $81.43
- Realized PnL
- $72.35
- Win rate
- 92.9%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 14
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.81
- Potential profit
- $20.81
- User PnL
- -$5.2
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.22
- Potential profit
- $2.22
- User PnL
- -$2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Under position
Paraguay vs. Australia: O/U 1.5
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.28
Yes position
Gemini 3.5 released by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.73
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.24
MOUZ NXT position
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.67
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.66
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.57
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 29 to January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 84% 95.24 shares
- Paraguay vs. Australia: O/U 1.5Under 43% 116.28 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June?No 99.8% 50.45 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June?No 99.1% 50.45 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 95.7% 26.37 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 91% 26.37 shares
- Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No 97.5% 25.77 shares
- Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No 97% 25.77 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 95% 26.31 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 95% 26.32 shares
- Gemini 3.5 released by July 31?Yes 93% 24.73 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 95.1% 24.21 shares