No position
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
Polymarket Trader
0x619DC40631C5f78606d17Ed1528d62898096B31C-1767915763461
0x619dc40631c5f78606d17ed1528d62898096b31c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $39.62
- Realized PnL
- $514.29
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $174.48
- Potential profit
- $174.48
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $154.33
- Potential profit
- $154.33
- User PnL
- -$4.27
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $103.88
- Potential profit
- $103.88
- User PnL
- -$80.21
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $81.5
- Potential profit
- $81.5
- User PnL
- -$3
Up position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $76.03
- Potential profit
- $76.03
- User PnL
- -$1.52
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 22, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will 60-79 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $44
- Potential profit
- $44
- User PnL
- -$2.98
Yes position
Will 60-79 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $38.68
- Potential profit
- $38.68
- User PnL
- -$2.04
Yes position
Will Trump's remarks not air?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $36.22
- Potential profit
- $36.22
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.3%
- Current value
- $0.98
- Potential payout
- $30.01
- Potential profit
- $29.03
- Multiplier
- 30.77x
- User PnL
- -$14.03
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.8%
- Current value
- $29.03
- Potential payout
- $30.01
- Potential profit
- $0.98
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $14.03
Yes position
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.66
- Potential profit
- $20.66
- User PnL
- -$0.66
Y
Yes position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.82
- Potential profit
- $18.82
- User PnL
- -$0.62
Up position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.36
- Potential profit
- $17.36
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Donald Trump sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $2.3
- Potential payout
- $14.9
- Potential profit
- $12.6
- Multiplier
- 6.47x
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will Trump say "No Tax" during events in Rockland County?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.29
- Potential profit
- $14.29
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Starmer say "Constituent" or "Constituency" during the next PMQ?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 42%
- Current value
- $5.25
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $7.25
- Multiplier
- 2.38x
- User PnL
- $2.25
Up position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.85
- Potential profit
- $11.85
- User PnL
- -$1.24
No position
Starmer out by June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 18%
- Current value
- $2.06
- Potential payout
- $11.44
- Potential profit
- $9.38
- Multiplier
- 5.56x
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Trump say "God" 5+ times during Coast Guard event?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.02
- Potential profit
- $9.02
- User PnL
- -$4
No position
Will Trump say "Job" 7+ times during events in Rockland County?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.33
- Potential profit
- $8.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Y
Yes position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.79
Yes position
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.67
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.71
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.32
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $25.88
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $25.32
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.53
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.52
Yes position
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.9%
- Multiplier
- 25.97x
- User PnL
- $20.85
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $20.51
Yes position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.15
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $17.66
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $16.21
Yes position
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 9, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.91
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $15.29
Yes position
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.76
Yes position
Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.68
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.52
Yes position
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.23
Yes position
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 8, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.19
Yes position
Will Trump publicly praise Mojtaba Khamenei by Friday?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.68
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.5
No position
Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.82
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.6
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Starmer out by June 26, 2026?No 18% 5.56 shares
- Starmer out by June 26, 2026?No 17% 5.88 shares
- Will Starmer say "Constituent" or "Constituency" during the next PMQ?No 24% 4.17 shares
- Will Starmer say "Constituent" or "Constituency" during the next PMQ?No 24% 4.17 shares
- Will Starmer say "Constituent" or "Constituency" during the next PMQ?No 24% 4.17 shares
- Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Yes 23% 4.35 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 14% 7.14 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 12.9% 7.75 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 8.3% 19.05 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 10.5% 9.52 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 10.5% 9.52 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States?Yes 0.2% 5 shares