Polymarket Trader

oscar-f

0x61a06636bad95d6375deaa179034eff1f4286dd5

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $178.07
Realized PnL: $1.91
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 6
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will GRVT launch a token by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 8.1%
Current value: $178.07
Potential payout: $2.21K
Potential profit: $2.03K
Multiplier: 12.42x
User PnL: -$294.78

Yes position

Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$21.3

Yes position

Will GRVT launch a token by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$1.2

Yes position

EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$12

Yes position

Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$8.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.89
Potential profit: $9.89
User PnL: -$2.96

Yes position

Paradex FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1.05

Yes position

EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$2.9

Yes position

EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1.3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.99
Potential profit: $4.99
User PnL: -$0.49

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.68

No position

Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 13%
Multiplier: 7.69x
User PnL: $0.4

Yes position

Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 32.5%
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: $0.4

Yes position

Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 76.5%
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 47.5%
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: -$1.07

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Yes 40.6% 20 shares
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?

Yes 71% 10 shares
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Yes 27% 20 shares
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?

Yes 11% 40 shares
Will GRVT launch a token by June 30, 2026?

Yes 22.1% 1,574.37 shares
Will GRVT launch a token by June 30, 2026?

Yes 19.6% 637.71 shares
Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?

Yes 86% 12 shares
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?

Yes 20% 20 shares
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Yes 41% 20 shares
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Yes 71% 30 shares
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?

Yes 10% 40 shares
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?

Yes 71% 10 shares