Polymarket Trader

0x61A6b23c59Dc8646F42662A206A717ba28c8dE5F-1781352645662

0x61a6b23c59dc8646f42662a206a717ba28c8de5f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $313.53
Realized PnL: -$10.44
Win rate: 40%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 5
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.2%
Current value: $19.54
Potential payout: $470.85
Potential profit: $451.31
Multiplier: 24.10x
User PnL: -$0.7

Yes position

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $20
Potential payout: $363.64
Potential profit: $343.64
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$1.82

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $20
Potential payout: $363.64
Potential profit: $343.64
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$1.82

Yes position

Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $20
Potential payout: $363.62
Potential profit: $343.62
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$1.82

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $15.51
Potential payout: $238.59
Potential profit: $223.08
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$5.68

Yes position

Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.9%
Current value: $15.86
Potential payout: $229.82
Potential profit: $213.96
Multiplier: 14.49x
User PnL: $0.92

Yes position

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $20
Potential payout: $210.52
Potential profit: $190.52
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$1.05

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $21.05
Potential payout: $200.5
Potential profit: $179.45
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Iran Nuke before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $8.74
Potential payout: $194.17
Potential profit: $185.43
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$1.36

Yes position

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $10.27
Potential payout: $181.82
Potential profit: $171.55
Multiplier: 17.70x
User PnL: -$0.64

No position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $9.91
Potential payout: $181.82
Potential profit: $171.91
Multiplier: 18.35x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $10
Potential payout: $181.82
Potential profit: $171.82
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$0.91

Yes position

Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $10
Potential payout: $181.82
Potential profit: $171.82
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$0.91

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $8.18
Potential payout: $181.82
Potential profit: $173.64
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$2.73

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $8.18
Potential payout: $181.82
Potential profit: $173.64
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$2.73

Yes position

Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $6.64
Potential payout: $166.03
Potential profit: $159.39
Multiplier: 25.00x
User PnL: -$5.33

Yes position

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.1%
Current value: $8.21
Potential payout: $162.6
Potential profit: $154.39
Multiplier: 19.80x
User PnL: -$1.87

Yes position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $20.13
Potential payout: $161.02
Potential profit: $140.89
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$0.68

Yes position

Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $10
Potential payout: $133.33
Potential profit: $123.33
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$0.67

Yes position

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $8
Potential payout: $133.33
Potential profit: $125.33
Multiplier: 16.67x
User PnL: -$2.67

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $10
Potential payout: $133.33
Potential profit: $123.33
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$0.67

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $10
Potential payout: $133.33
Potential profit: $123.33
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$0.67

Yes position

Will Russia invade another country in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $12.67
Potential payout: $133.33
Potential profit: $120.66
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: $2

Yes position

Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $10.64
Potential payout: $125.2
Potential profit: $114.56
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: $0.63

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 53.5%
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: $2.53

Yes position

US x Cuba military clash in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 34.5%
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: $1.49

Yes position

Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?

Ends Mar 31, 2027

Implied probability: 10.5%
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$1.74

Yes position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Multiplier: 125.00x
User PnL: -$6.32

No position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$6.41

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?

Yes 10% 86.95 shares
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?

Yes 6% 181.82 shares
Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?

Yes 4% 18.7 shares
OpenAI IPO before 2027?

Yes 24% 42.55 shares
Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

Yes 4% 32.7 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 12% 21 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Yes 22% 46.51 shares
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?

Yes 34% 29.85 shares
US recession by end of 2026?

Yes 10% 105.26 shares
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?

No 6% 181.82 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 10% 105.26 shares
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

Yes 10% 105.26 shares