Polymarket Trader

bearbills1

0x61a7b9f8a53fb48124a8bcade18748612d8ff4d1

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $231.84
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C or higher on May 3?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.31K
Potential profit: $1.31K
User PnL: -$8.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on May 3?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $939.68
Potential profit: $939.68
User PnL: -$18.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C or higher on May 3?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $768.64
Potential profit: $768.64
User PnL: -$12.81

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 3?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $656.35
Potential profit: $656.35
User PnL: -$12.69

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 3?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $376.63
Potential profit: $376.63
User PnL: -$0.64

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 3?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $372.68
Potential profit: $372.68
User PnL: -$0.55

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 3?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $295.62
Potential profit: $295.62
User PnL: -$1.96

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C or higher on May 3?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $290.94
Potential profit: $290.94
User PnL: -$8.49

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on May 3?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200.1
Potential profit: $200.1
User PnL: -$29.63

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 3?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $169.51
Potential profit: $169.51
User PnL: -$3.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 3?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $154.69
Potential profit: $154.69
User PnL: -$14.57

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C or higher on May 3?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $90.91
User PnL: -$0.18

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C or higher on May 3?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $90.91
User PnL: -$0.18

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 29°C on May 3?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $86.96
Potential profit: $86.96
User PnL: -$0.87

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on May 3?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $86.96
Potential profit: $86.96
User PnL: -$0.09

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 38°C or higher on May 3?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $80
User PnL: -$0.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on May 3?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $80
User PnL: -$0.4

Yes position

Will White House post 120-139 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $80
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 28°C or below on May 3?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $80
User PnL: -$0.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 37°C on May 3?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $76.92
Potential profit: $76.92
User PnL: -$0.75

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on May 3?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $76.92
Potential profit: $76.92
User PnL: -$0.46

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on May 3?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $74.06
Potential profit: $74.06
User PnL: -$0.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 30°C on May 3?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $68.97
Potential profit: $68.97
User PnL: -$1.02

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 36°C on May 3?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $68.97
Potential profit: $68.97
User PnL: -$0.65

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on May 3?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.74

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,000 and $3,100 on January 13?

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.99

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,100 and $3,200 on January 13?

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.43

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.67

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 9, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.87

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on January 9?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.34

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,200 and $3,300 on January 13?

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.29

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 3AM ET

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.11

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.01

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.84

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.39

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 9, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.94

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 9, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.96

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 3?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.77

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 34°C on May 3?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.62

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.32

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 1, 5PM ET

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on May 3?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.27

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 6PM ET

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.2

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 9, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 3?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.64

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.58

Down position

Solana Up or Down - January 9, 6AM ET

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 5AM ET

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.79

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on July 6?

No 97% 2 shares
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on July 6?

Yes 2% 50 shares
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on July 6?

No 97.4% 2 shares
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on July 6?

No 97% 2 shares
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 98-99°F on July 6?

No 97.6% 2 shares
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on July 6?

No 97.6% 2 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 5?

No 72% 5 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET

Down 25% 4 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET

Down 25% 4 shares
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on July 5?

Yes 43% 3 shares
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on July 5?

No 73% 2 shares
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on July 5?

No 62% 2 shares