Polymarket Trader

louiscarl

0x61a9ba85eca42ebef055b73ea438866ba5d03630

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $40.95
Realized PnL: $540.28
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $209.99
Potential profit: $209.99
User PnL: -$15.81

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 20?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$73

Yes position

Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 13%
Current value: $12.95
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $87.05
Multiplier: 7.72x
User PnL: -$0.85

Yes position

Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 7.8%
Current value: $7.8
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $92.2
Multiplier: 12.82x
User PnL: -$22.2

Yes position

Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 20.2%
Current value: $20.2
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $79.8
Multiplier: 4.95x
User PnL: $7.4

North Carolina Tar Heels position

VCU Rams vs. North Carolina Tar Heels

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $49.95
Potential profit: $49.95
User PnL: -$47

No position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.25
Potential profit: $31.25
User PnL: -$10

Thunder position

Thunder vs. Heat

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$24.1

Under position

Mexico vs. South Africa: 1st Half O/U 0.5

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.78
Potential profit: $27.78
User PnL: -$10

Under position

United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 0.5

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.78
Potential profit: $27.78
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$9.7

No position

Will United States win on 2026-06-12?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.87
Potential profit: $18.87
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.9
Potential profit: $17.9
User PnL: -$10.19

No position

Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.38
Potential profit: $15.38
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.08
Potential profit: $12.08
User PnL: -$2.12

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.71
Potential profit: $5.71
User PnL: -$1.11

Trail Blazers position

Trail Blazers vs. Wizards

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$2.35

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 22?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.47

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.97

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.24

No position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $42.38

No position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.72

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.35

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.97

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.91

No position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 24 to January 26, 2026?

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.13

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.48

No position

US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $18.19

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $16.15

No position

US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.39

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.16

No position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.99

Lakers position

Lakers vs. Bulls

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.63

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.39

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.01

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 21 to February 23, 2026?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.67

No position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.59

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 0.5

Under 36% 27.78 shares
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?

No 53% 18.87 shares
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: 1st Half O/U 0.5

Under 35% 28.57 shares
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?

No 65% 15.38 shares
Mexico vs. South Africa: 1st Half O/U 0.5

Under 36% 27.78 shares
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?

No 32% 31.25 shares
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 46.9% 50 shares
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?

Yes 30% 100 shares
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?

Yes 13.8% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?

Yes 99.3% 14.99 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?

Yes 99.7% 30 shares
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026?

No 99.9% 20 shares