Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $12.35
- Potential payout
- $88.24
- Potential profit
- $75.88
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- -$2.65
Polymarket Trader
0x61B0C9A7CB8Ee62f51508C97F3016dD5f964ea7F-1749372211998
0x61b0c9a7cb8ee62f51508c97f3016dd5f964ea7f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $12.35
- Realized PnL
- $31.44
- Win rate
- 57.1%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 14
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 12 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.8
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.37
Yes position
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.89
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.68
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.44
No position
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.44
Yes position
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 17?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
Yes position
Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.73
Yes position
GPT-5.3 released by February 20, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.02
Yes position
GPT-5.5 released by April 17, 2026?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.68
Yes position
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 16?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.1
Yes position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.23
Yes position
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$17.85
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?Yes 17% 88.24 shares
- Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?Yes 2.7% 213 shares
- Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?Yes 4.7% 213 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?Yes 37% 44.44 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?Yes 36% 44.44 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 48% 16.15 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 52.5% 16.15 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 12 2026?Yes 37% 27.03 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 12 2026?Yes 36% 27.78 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 15?Yes 99.9% 28.4 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 15?Yes 35.2% 28.41 shares
- GPT-5.5 released by April 17, 2026?Yes 2.1% 62.79 shares