Polymarket Trader

91e9

@quanxiaoningzi

0x61c3c628c7bc0cdb4f08e60f074c88d954debf74

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $118.43
Realized PnL: $293.29
Win rate: 90%
Open positions: 23
Closed positions: 20
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Idaho Vandals position

Idaho Vandals vs. Houston Cougars

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $999.81
Potential profit: $999.81
User PnL: -$29.99

Yes position

Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $338.73
Potential profit: $338.73
User PnL: -$5.5

Yes position

Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $204.53
Potential profit: $204.53
User PnL: -$24

Yes position

Will New York Mets win the 2026 National League Championship Series?

Ends Nov 1, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $4.31
Potential payout: $191.67
Potential profit: $187.35
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: -$18.69

Yes position

US recession by end of 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2027

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $23.29
Potential payout: $186.3
Potential profit: $163.01
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$26.71

Yes position

Will Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?

Ends Jan 25, 2027

Implied probability: 13%
Current value: $16.54
Potential payout: $127.27
Potential profit: $110.72
Multiplier: 7.69x
User PnL: -$8.46

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 23.1%
Current value: $28.11
Potential payout: $121.95
Potential profit: $93.84
Multiplier: 4.34x
User PnL: -$1.89

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.4%
Current value: $6.39
Potential payout: $119.44
Potential profit: $113.05
Multiplier: 18.69x
User PnL: -$4.36

No position

Anthropic IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $22.96
Potential payout: $102.04
Potential profit: $79.08
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: -$27.04

Yes position

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $11.57
Potential payout: $92.59
Potential profit: $81.02
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$13.43

No position

Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $85.13
Potential profit: $85.13
User PnL: -$33

Yes position

Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $72.02
Potential profit: $72.02
User PnL: -$15

Movistar KOI position

LoL: T1 vs Movistar KOI (BO3)

Ends Oct 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $72
Potential profit: $72
User PnL: -$1.8

Kings position

Kings vs. Lakers

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.67
Potential profit: $66.67
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $5.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $44.75
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$6.75

Yes position

Zama FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$16.5

76ers position

Spread: Celtics (-8.5)

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $49.02
Potential profit: $49.02
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will FC Juárez vs. CD Guadalajara end in a draw?

Ends Jan 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $42.86
Potential profit: $42.86
User PnL: -$12

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38
Potential profit: $38
User PnL: -$6.08

Tulsa Golden Hurricane position

Spread: Tulsa Golden Hurricane (-4.5)

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.82
Potential profit: $22.82
User PnL: -$10.95

Yes position

Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.87
Potential profit: $18.87
User PnL: -$10

Celtics position

Celtics vs. Bulls

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.98
Potential profit: $14.98
User PnL: -$7.49

Yes position

Zama FDV above $600M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.62
Potential profit: $8.62
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Under position

Pelicans vs. Heat: O/U 243.5

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102.8

Warriors position

Warriors vs. Timberwolves

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.06

Wizards position

Spread: Hornets (-9.5)

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.7

Yes position

Will Apple be the second most valuable company on October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.44

No position

Ethereum flipped in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $42.22

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.08

Mavericks position

Spread: Thunder (-15.5)

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25

Trail Blazers position

Warriors vs. Trail Blazers

Ends Oct 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.95

Yes position

Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.56

No position

Hyperliquid listed on Coinbase in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.89

Trail Blazers position

Trail Blazers vs. Lakers

Ends Oct 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.6

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.22

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: $11.47

Yes position

Will Bilibili Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 59%
Multiplier: 1.69x
User PnL: $8.72

Yes position

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 9.4%
Multiplier: 10.64x
User PnL: $8.6

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.54

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.91

Yes position

Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.66

Yes position

Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$33.13

Under position

Thunder vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 229.5

Ends Nov 6, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$200

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Yes 2.3% 861.13 shares
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 24.6% 121.95 shares
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Yes 6.2% 861.14 shares
US recession by end of 2026?

Yes 26.8% 186.3 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

No 74% 104.16 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

No 48% 104.17 shares
Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?

No 38.8% 85.13 shares
Anthropic IPO before 2027?

No 49% 102.04 shares
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Yes 27% 92.59 shares
Will Bilibili Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?

Yes 50.3% 164.99 shares
Ethereum flipped in 2026?

No 45.2% 287.21 shares
Spread: Tulsa Golden Hurricane (-4.5)

Tulsa Golden Hurricane 48% 22.82 shares