Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 29%
- Current value
- $87.88
- Potential payout
- $303.03
- Potential profit
- $215.15
- Multiplier
- 3.45x
- User PnL
- -$6.06
Polymarket Trader
manu354
0x61c483aa0160c5574e92b8b6923cfe08a49efa64
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $306.35
- Realized PnL
- -$100.76
- Win rate
- 0%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 2
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $191.02
- Potential payout
- $256.4
- Potential profit
- $65.38
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- -$1.28
No position
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 17, 2026?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $25.51
- Potential payout
- $204.08
- Potential profit
- $178.57
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$53.78
Yes position
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $1.94
- Potential payout
- $3.77
- Potential profit
- $1.83
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 15 and June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.2
No position
Will Trump say "Swamp the Vote" during Tele-Rally?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$99.56
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump say "Swamp the Vote" during Tele-Rally?No 93.6% 106.38 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?No 75% 128.2 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?No 75% 128.2 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes 31% 303.03 shares
- Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 17, 2026?No 36.8% 169.3 shares
- Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?Yes 52% 3.77 shares
- Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 15 and June 21, 2026?Yes 24% 5 shares