Polymarket Trader

Miaomiao8

0x61c8fcf81473b90bc247771668641bfa17ecbac1

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $49.52
Realized PnL: $910.24
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $350
Potential profit: $350
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $285.71
Potential profit: $285.71
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $225.27
Potential profit: $225.27
User PnL: -$148.68

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $213.97
Potential profit: $213.97
User PnL: -$3

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $210.83
Potential profit: $210.83
User PnL: -$50

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.19
Potential profit: $166.19
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $163.11
Potential profit: $163.11
User PnL: -$3.88

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $136.48
Potential profit: $136.48
User PnL: -$50

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $107.14
Potential profit: $107.14
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100.95
Potential profit: $100.95
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $92.37
Potential profit: $92.37
User PnL: -$41.57

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $82.24
Potential profit: $82.24
User PnL: -$15

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $49.52
Potential payout: $76.77
Potential profit: $27.25
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: $12.67

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $54.95
Potential profit: $54.95
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.63
Potential profit: $23.63
User PnL: -$19.25

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.29
Potential profit: $21.29
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86.47

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.15

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.52

No position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.17

No position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.58

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.17

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.62

No position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.01

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.71

No position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.44

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.26

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.17

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.88

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.74

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.89

No position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.7

No position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.76

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15

No position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.69

No position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.45

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.38

No position

Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.24

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.82

No position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.43

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

No 48% 76.77 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?

No 30.1% 166.19 shares
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

No 23.7% 210.83 shares
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?

No 47.3% 105.62 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?

No 22% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?

No 60% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

No 32% 81.08 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

No 37% 81.08 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

No 67.6% 96.15 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

No 52% 96.15 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?

No 45% 92.37 shares
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?

No 12.9% 165.61 shares