Yes position
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $199.3
- Potential payout
- $30.66K
- Potential profit
- $30.46K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$117.96
Polymarket Trader
arbadg
0x61ca4f40bc9ad780d4ef0d04e0fea97e7584a1b4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.45K
- Realized PnL
- $2.88K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $71.07
- Potential payout
- $20.31K
- Potential profit
- $20.24K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$121.68
Yes position
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $83.99
- Potential payout
- $15.27K
- Potential profit
- $15.19K
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$695.86
Yes position
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $36.08
- Potential payout
- $14.43K
- Potential profit
- $14.39K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$36.08
Yes position
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $5.15
- Potential payout
- $10.31K
- Potential profit
- $10.3K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$15.46
Yes position
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Current value
- $94.89
- Potential payout
- $3.58K
- Potential profit
- $3.49K
- Multiplier
- 37.74x
- User PnL
- -$108.28
No position
Will Sweden advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 8%
- Current value
- $50.19
- Potential payout
- $627.42
- Potential profit
- $577.22
- Multiplier
- 12.50x
- User PnL
- -$41.3
No position
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $14.58
- Potential payout
- $416.67
- Potential profit
- $402.08
- Multiplier
- 28.57x
- User PnL
- -$35.42
Yes position
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $137.52
- Potential payout
- $357.2
- Potential profit
- $219.68
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- -$62.51
Yes position
Will Croatia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $153.97
- Potential payout
- $163.8
- Potential profit
- $9.83
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $21.48
Yes position
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $120.52
- Potential payout
- $151.6
- Potential profit
- $31.08
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $20.47
Y
Yes position
Will Qatar finish last in Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $114.35
- Potential payout
- $132.19
- Potential profit
- $17.85
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $14.35
Y
Yes position
Will Iraq finish last in Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $109.52
- Potential payout
- $119.05
- Potential profit
- $9.52
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $9.52
No position
Will Scotland win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Current value
- $107.06
- Potential payout
- $108.86
- Potential profit
- $1.8
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $7.02
Yes position
Will Spain reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $74.25
- Potential payout
- $88.93
- Potential profit
- $14.67
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $4.25
Y
Yes position
Will Paraguay be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $10
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $70
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.4
Y
Yes position
Will Japan reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 12%
- Current value
- $7.45
- Potential payout
- $62.12
- Potential profit
- $54.67
- Multiplier
- 8.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.62
Yes position
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Current value
- $18.76
- Potential payout
- $27.79
- Potential profit
- $9.03
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- -$1.25
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.6%
- Current value
- $13.96
- Potential payout
- $18
- Potential profit
- $4.04
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- -$0.69
No position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 32°C on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 82%
- Current value
- $14.76
- Potential payout
- $18
- Potential profit
- $3.24
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $0.36
Y
Yes position
Will Canada be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $6.55
- Potential payout
- $17
- Potential profit
- $10.46
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- $0.42
Y
Yes position
Will Ecuador be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.1%
- Current value
- $1.03
- Potential payout
- $17
- Potential profit
- $15.97
- Multiplier
- 16.53x
- User PnL
- -$4.07
Y
Yes position
Will South Korea be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Current value
- $5.18
- Potential payout
- $17
- Potential profit
- $11.82
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- $0.08
Y
Yes position
Will Brazil be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $3.83
- Potential payout
- $17
- Potential profit
- $13.18
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- -$0.76
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- $1.29K
Yes position
Will Switzerland win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $287.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on April 12?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $232.2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $206.01
Yes position
Will Solana dip to $80 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $174.79
Yes position
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.8%
- Multiplier
- 5.95x
- User PnL
- $65.76
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on April 12?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.12
Over position
Lakers vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 118.5
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45
Jets position
Jets vs. Blue Jackets
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.17
Over position
Wizards vs. Heat: O/U 252.5
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.32
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on April 11?
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.6
Over position
Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.5
Over position
Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 227.5
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37
Over position
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.14
Nuggets position
Spurs vs. Nuggets
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.1
Athletics position
Houston Astros vs. Athletics
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.31
Over position
Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 226.5
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.28
No position
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on April 11?
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.65
Yes position
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- $31.42
Yes position
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $31
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.8
Under position
Timberwolves vs. Pistons: O/U 221.5
Ends Apr 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.26
No position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 74°F or higher on April 12?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.04
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 7°C on April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.9
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 35°C on June 25?No 98.9% 6 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 25?No 81.4% 18 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on June 25?No 98.9% 15 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C or below on June 25?No 98.9% 15 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 32°C on June 25?No 80% 18 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on June 24?No 90% 16 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on June 24?No 80.3% 37 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C or below on June 24?No 97.8% 30 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on June 25?No 98.6% 15 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C or higher on June 24?No 91% 32 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on June 24?No 84% 17 shares
- Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on June 24?No 89% 16 shares