No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $7.06K
- Potential payout
- $7.8K
- Potential profit
- $740.62
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $428.78
Polymarket Trader
Velvet-Learner
0x61ccd7a7a19306c30c253659d0784632ce8ba9a2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $7.06K
- Realized PnL
- -$1.77K
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 21
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Biden finish his term?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $941.46
Yes position
Ethereum ETF approved by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $693.52
Yes position
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl LVIII?
Ends Feb 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $439.48
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $348.87
No position
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $244.62
No position
Is $DJT real?
Ends Jun 21, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $205.91
No position
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?
Ends Sep 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $116.62
Yes position
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.13
No position
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.46
No position
SBF sentenced to 50+ years?
Ends Jun 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.65
No position
Trump out as President by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.34
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.49
Yes position
Will U.S. Supreme Court vote to reinstate Trump on Colorado's 2024 ballot?
Ends Mar 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.93
Yes position
Will Trump win the South Carolina Primary by between 40-50% of the vote?
Ends Feb 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$116
No position
Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$233.68
No position
Biden drops out of presidential race?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$256.2
No position
Ethereum ETF approved by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$308.5
Yes position
Fed rate cut by May 1?
Ends May 1, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$323.4
Yes position
Fed rate cut by March 20?
Ends Mar 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.8K
Yes position
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
Ends Sep 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.07K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 99.4% 7,082 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?No 98% 296.38 shares
- Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?No 97.1% 8,413 shares
- No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes 99.9% 8,113.09 shares
- No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes 95.6% 8,113.1 shares
- Will Biden finish his term?Yes 98% 0.6 shares
- Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?Yes 6.7% 3,464 shares
- Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?No 87% 105.52 shares
- Is $DJT real?No 99.9% 992 shares
- Is $DJT real?No 79.9% 169.3 shares
- Is $DJT real?No 79% 823.21 shares
- Ethereum ETF approved by May 31?Yes 63% 60 shares