Clone78

Implied probability: 19.8%
Current value: $197.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $802.5
Multiplier: 5.06x
User PnL: $48.5

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 12.4%
Current value: $123.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $876.5
Multiplier: 8.10x
User PnL: $9.5

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 13.7%
Current value: $136.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $863.5
Multiplier: 7.33x
User PnL: $46.5

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 5.1%
Current value: $50.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $949.5
Multiplier: 19.80x
User PnL: -$35.5

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 6.8%
Current value: $67.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $932.5
Multiplier: 14.81x
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $56.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $943.5
Multiplier: 17.70x
User PnL: $2.5

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 13.9%
Current value: $138.5
Potential payout: $999.99
Potential profit: $861.49
Multiplier: 7.22x
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $48.33
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $285
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$151.67

Yes position

Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $145.93
Potential payout: $210
Potential profit: $64.07
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: -$3.17

No position

Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 80%
Current value: $136
Potential payout: $170
Potential profit: $34
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $37.4

Yes position

Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $133.57
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $9.29
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $33.57

No position

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $128.9
Potential payout: $130
Potential profit: $1.1
User PnL: $28.8

No position

Will Ecuador advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $53.21
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $18.21
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $43.21

Yes position

Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $10.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $39.75
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$1.25

No position

Will Austria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $3.72
Potential payout: $43.74
Potential profit: $40.02
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$6.28

No position

Will Enzo Fernández score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $15.74
Potential payout: $29.41
Potential profit: $13.68
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: $5.74

No position

Will Marcel Sabitzer score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $14.23
Potential payout: $25.64
Potential profit: $11.41
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: $4.23

Yes position

Will Marcus Thuram score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $2.38
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $22.63
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$7.63

Yes position

Will Bernardo Silva score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $11.28
Potential payout: $23.26
Potential profit: $11.98
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: $1.28

No position

Will Rafael Leão score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $9.31
Potential payout: $19.61
Potential profit: $10.29
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: -$0.69

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.46K

Yes position

Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.09K

Yes position

Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $875.13

Yes position

Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $670.93

No position

Over $120M committed to the Solomon public sale?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $523.18

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $424

Yes position

Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $403.86

No position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $290.67

Yes position

Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $265.37

No position

Over 20,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $258.51

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $222.5

No position

Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $206.67

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $185.52

Yes position

Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $127.27

Yes position

Over $1M committed to the Hurupay public sale?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $109.2

Yes position

Will "My Secret Santa" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (December 9, 2025)

Ends Dec 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100

No position

Meteora FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.92

No position

Will Sentient launch a token in 2025?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.27

Yes position

Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $5 million?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.4

Yes position

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.36

Yes position

Over $100M committed to the Ranger public sale?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $73.67

Yes position

Will Juventus win on 2025-09-13?

Ends Sep 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.66

No position

Grokipedia released by October 24?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.23

No position

Over $100M committed to the Avici Raise on MetaDAO?