No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55.16K
- Potential profit
- $55.16K
- User PnL
- -$15.5K
Polymarket Trader
jimbobianthethird
0x61e7e940dc615fd3e409a2ca4c5ee7f57e1f6e8b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $10.6K
- Realized PnL
- $82.34K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $48.6K
- Potential profit
- $48.6K
- User PnL
- -$24.17K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.74K
- Potential profit
- $17.74K
- User PnL
- -$4K
Yes position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $6.21K
- Potential payout
- $8.34K
- Potential profit
- $2.13K
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $939.74
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.7%
- Current value
- $2.35K
- Potential payout
- $4.31K
- Potential profit
- $1.95K
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- -$966.24
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $2.04K
- Potential payout
- $2.63K
- Potential profit
- $592.11
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $39.48
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.14K
- Potential profit
- $1.14K
- User PnL
- -$523
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $454.95
- Potential profit
- $454.95
- User PnL
- -$200
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $131.89
- Potential profit
- $131.89
- User PnL
- -$100
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$25
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.84K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.12K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.92K
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.58K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.65K
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.51K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.41K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.4K
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.94K
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- $3.72K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.42K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.26K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.34K
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.74K
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.72K
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.62K
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.58K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.2%
- Multiplier
- 12.27x
- User PnL
- $1.51K
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.26K
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $1.24K
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.22K
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.16K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11K
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.07K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes 56.8% 4,206.05 shares
- Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?No 84% 2,682.56 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes 69% 34.71 shares
- Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?Yes 95.5% 1,590.03 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 78.7% 3,330.56 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes 70.5% 2,129.15 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 47.7% 3,053.09 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 65.5% 3,053.09 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 51.1% 5,116.66 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 73% 1,368.49 shares
- Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?No 65.6% 597.27 shares
- Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?Yes 78.6% 1,590.04 shares