Yes position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $15.47K
- Potential payout
- $17.89K
- Potential profit
- $2.42K
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $3.47K
Polymarket Trader
Geminae.Columbae
0x61ea83757d03ad51fb01bcedc7f69d623960bbf7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $35.35K
- Realized PnL
- $56.42K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $14.54K
- Potential payout
- $16.25K
- Potential profit
- $1.71K
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $3.13K
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $2.09K
- Potential payout
- $7.35K
- Potential profit
- $5.25K
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- $947.66
Yes position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 57%
- Current value
- $3.24K
- Potential payout
- $5.68K
- Potential profit
- $2.44K
- Multiplier
- 1.75x
- User PnL
- -$396.1
No position
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $562.5
- Potential profit
- $562.5
- User PnL
- -$9
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 31.5%
- Current value
- $7.2
- Potential payout
- $22.86
- Potential profit
- $15.66
- Multiplier
- 3.17x
- User PnL
- -$0.8
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.06K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.66K
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.95K
No position
Will fewer than 50k federal employees accept the buyout?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.52K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.18K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.46K
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.18K
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $2.9K
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.4K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.81K
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.77K
Yes position
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.7K
No position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.2K
No position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $171.73
Yes position
Will 150-200k federal employees accept the buyout?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $165.88
Yes position
Will a Republican win Arizona Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88
Yes position
Will 100-150k federal employees accept the buyout?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $47
No position
Will Fed cut interest rates 3 times in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $34.04
No position
Will Fed cut interest rates 2 times in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26
Yes position
Will Fed cut interest rates 4 times in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.86
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14.28
Yes position
Will a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 November meeting?
Ends Nov 7, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes 35% 22.86 shares
- Starmer out by June 15, 2026?Yes 0.1% 7,202.66 shares
- Starmer out by June 15, 2026?Yes 1.3% 1,478.46 shares
- Starmer out by June 15, 2026?Yes 1.7% 5,724.21 shares
- Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes 86% 10,600 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes 15% 3,000 shares
- Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Yes 66.3% 67.84 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes 0.2% 15,117.5 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes 2.4% 4,600 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes 14.3% 10,517.5 shares
- Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Yes 67.5% 2,439.09 shares
- Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes 44% 88.64 shares