Yes position
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 84%
- Current value
- $4.2
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.8
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Polymarket Trader
Chaama
0x61ed4a95ddf8070a70ec732a88b17591b1dad6bf
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.29
- Realized PnL
- $9.72
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 3
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $0.09
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $4.91
- Multiplier
- 54.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.71
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $7.05
Yes position
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 1, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $2.05
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.62
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes 33% 15 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?Yes 17% 31 shares