Polymarket Trader

pabon

0x61ee455e5da4a8ca06588a728a5548ce758c932c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $5.92K
Realized PnL: $41.99K
Win rate: 58.3%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

$60k position

Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.88K
Potential profit: $33.88K
User PnL: -$22.21K

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.2K
Potential profit: $25.2K
User PnL: -$10.53K

Yes position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $2.31K
Potential payout: $22K
Potential profit: $19.69K
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$1.28K

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $222
Potential payout: $12K
Potential profit: $11.78K
Multiplier: 54.05x
User PnL: $6

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.53K
Potential profit: $11.53K
User PnL: -$4.12K

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $175.5
Potential payout: $9K
Potential profit: $8.82K
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: $31.5

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4.9%
Current value: $194
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $3.81K
Multiplier: 20.62x
User PnL: $42

No position

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,900 (LOW) in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.3%
Current value: $2.36K
Potential payout: $2.4K
Potential profit: $40.8
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $895.19

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $113
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.89K
Multiplier: 17.70x
User PnL: $11

No position

Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $541.63
Potential payout: $895.25
Potential profit: $353.63
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: -$67.14

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.11K

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.18K

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.05K

80k position

Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $100k first?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.9K

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.51K

80k position

Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.1K

70k position

Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.57K

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $935.73

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $798.11

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $514.8

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $399.01

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 96.7%
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $222.91

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 96.3%
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $164.34

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 89.5%
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $14.6

No position

Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$39.19

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 February 23-March 1?

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$93

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$129.17

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 February 23-March 1?

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$177

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: -$345.69

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$391.76

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$485.5

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$709.13

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 84.5%
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$709.18

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.41K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.6% 9,000 shares
Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?

No 65% 229.99 shares
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.8% 12,000 shares
Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?

No 66% 225 shares
Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?

No 67% 110 shares
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 3.8% 4,000 shares
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?

No 41.8% 2,755.77 shares
Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?

No 68% 115.29 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Yes 4% 6,053 shares
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?

No 40% 6,556.8 shares
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?

No 38.8% 2,353.5 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June?

No 14.7% 1,844.31 shares