Yes position
Will Lighter dip to $1.5 before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.58
Polymarket Trader
sfegf
0x61f88f895ba9697246fa7e3b9ee3d707c66449a0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- -$1.81
- Win rate
- 76.9%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 13
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
Yes position
Grok 4.20 released by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.9
Czechia position
Spread: Korea Republic (-2.5)
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.25
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by February 28?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.92
No position
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on May 14?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.71
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Lighter dip to $1.5 before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.58
Yes position
Grok 4.20 released by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.9
Czechia position
Spread: Korea Republic (-2.5)
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.25
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by February 28?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.92
No position
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on May 14?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.71
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C or higher on April 28?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will Meta (META) close above $630 on June 2?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 7?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $225 on May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
Germany position
Spread: Ecuador (-2.5)
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C or higher on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Over position
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 230.5
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.74
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Spread: Ecuador (-2.5)Germany 97.5% 20 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C or higher on June 21?No 98% 15 shares
- Spread: Korea Republic (-2.5)Czechia 95% 25 shares
- Will Meta (META) close above $630 on June 2?No 98.5% 8.4 shares
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $225 on May 27?No 99% 8 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 23?No 98.1% 7.5 shares
- S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on May 14?No 94% 11.8 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 7?No 99.5% 17.4 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C or higher on April 28?No 98.3% 7.49 shares
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 230.5Over 55% 17.46 shares
- Grok 4.20 released by March 31?Yes 97% 1,900 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by February 28?No 96.4% 924 shares