Yes position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $44.58
- Potential payout
- $2.41K
- Potential profit
- $2.37K
- Multiplier
- 54.05x
- User PnL
- -$55.42
Polymarket Trader
kerob
0x62141044945a94a0c2e33a75de77b3a05fd520d1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.37K
- Realized PnL
- -$28.54
- Win rate
- 30.4%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 23
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $294.51
- Potential payout
- $365.85
- Potential profit
- $71.34
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- -$5.49
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 61%
- Current value
- $210.66
- Potential payout
- $345.35
- Potential profit
- $134.69
- Multiplier
- 1.64x
- User PnL
- $51.8
Yes position
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88%
- Current value
- $244.44
- Potential payout
- $277.78
- Potential profit
- $33.33
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $144.44
No position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $264.13
- Potential payout
- $266.26
- Potential profit
- $2.13
- User PnL
- $64.13
Yes position
Will England win on 2026-06-23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$200
Y
Yes position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $185.25
- Potential payout
- $204.7
- Potential profit
- $19.45
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $85.63
Yes position
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $192.31
- Potential profit
- $192.31
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.3%
- Current value
- $18.13
- Potential payout
- $118.48
- Potential profit
- $100.36
- Multiplier
- 6.54x
- User PnL
- -$81.87
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Current value
- $107.71
- Potential payout
- $110.87
- Potential profit
- $3.16
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $7.71
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $229.35
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $133.36
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.96
No position
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.7
No position
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.41
No position
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.6
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 2?
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.33
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.58
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$32.26
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$39.58
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$45.21
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$47.78
Yes position
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$70.83
No position
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 6?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$94
Yes position
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Yes 46% 345.35 shares
- Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?Yes 66% 151.52 shares
- Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes 48.7% 204.7 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?No 84.4% 118.48 shares
- Will England win on 2026-06-23?Yes 80% 250 shares
- Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 36% 277.78 shares
- Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?Yes 68% 147.06 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?Yes 89% 112.36 shares
- Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?Yes 4.1% 2,409.75 shares
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Yes 65% 307.69 shares
- Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?Yes 14% 208.33 shares
- Will United States win on 2026-06-19?Yes 95.9% 62.57 shares