No position
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15?
Ends Jan 15, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.05K
- Potential profit
- $6.05K
- User PnL
- -$1.34K
Polymarket Trader
Arpalit
0x62185cab2e83eeb3e37c748f618f16ac74bc04b5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $2.19K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 15, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.14K
- Potential profit
- $2.14K
- User PnL
- -$21.36
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.73K
- Potential profit
- $1.73K
- User PnL
- -$134.78
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $844.24
- Potential profit
- $844.24
- User PnL
- -$96.68
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET
Ends Jan 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $510.16
- Potential profit
- $510.16
- User PnL
- -$499.95
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $485.38
- Potential profit
- $485.38
- User PnL
- -$436.84
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 20, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $426.36
- Potential profit
- $426.36
- User PnL
- -$19.99
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 18, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $421.74
- Potential profit
- $421.74
- User PnL
- -$296.74
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 15, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $295.25
- Potential profit
- $295.25
- User PnL
- -$197.55
Up position
XRP Up or Down - January 21, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
Ends Jan 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $290.26
- Potential profit
- $290.26
- User PnL
- -$271.73
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $259.91
- Potential profit
- $259.91
- User PnL
- -$164
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 20, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $251.42
- Potential profit
- $251.42
- User PnL
- -$198.62
Down position
XRP Up or Down - January 19, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
Ends Jan 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $242.57
- Potential profit
- $242.57
- User PnL
- -$198.91
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
Ends Jan 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $239.76
- Potential profit
- $239.76
- User PnL
- -$199
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 17, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
Ends Jan 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $227.11
- Potential profit
- $227.11
- User PnL
- -$199.43
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 21, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Ends Jan 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $227.05
- Potential profit
- $227.05
- User PnL
- -$199.43
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 19, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $226.88
- Potential profit
- $226.88
- User PnL
- -$199.43
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 20, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $226.64
- Potential profit
- $226.64
- User PnL
- -$199.44
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $226.64
- Potential profit
- $226.64
- User PnL
- -$199.44
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $219.41
- Potential profit
- $219.41
- User PnL
- -$199.66
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 12PM ET
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $211.68
- Potential profit
- $211.68
- User PnL
- -$155.67
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $210.41
- Potential profit
- $210.41
- User PnL
- -$199.89
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 18, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $206.14
- Potential profit
- $206.14
- User PnL
- -$199.96
Up position
Solana Up or Down - January 21, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
Ends Jan 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $204.06
- Potential profit
- $204.06
- User PnL
- -$199.98
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 20, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $133.73
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 20, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $125.96
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 20, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $123.02
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 20, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110.19
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 20, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110.11
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 21, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
Ends Jan 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $106.12
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 20, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $103.03
No position
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100.62
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 15, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Ends Jan 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $93.02
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 18, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.52
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
Ends Jan 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86.08
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 21, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
Ends Jan 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.79
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 18, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $83.8
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 20, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.69
No position
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.23
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 21, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
Ends Jan 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.99
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 18, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.52
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 7AM ET
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.76
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 20, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.33
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 19, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
Ends Jan 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.01
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.8
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.93
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 10:30PM-10:45PM ETDown 51% 1.96 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 10:15PM-10:30PM ETDown 56% 3.57 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ETDown 46% 2.17 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ETDown 50% 4 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ETDown 53% 1.89 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ETUp 52% 30.77 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ETDown 47% 17.02 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 6:45PM-7:00PM ETUp 56% 7.14 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ETUp 46% 4.35 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ETDown 43% 2.33 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 5:30PM-5:45PM ETDown 49% 4.08 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ETUp 37% 2.7 shares