No position
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.8%
- Current value
- $50.22
- Potential payout
- $53
- Potential profit
- $2.78
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.19
Polymarket Trader
Alla-h
0x623684786a23cd6fa0b9755086f2a7809b664558
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $360.19
- Realized PnL
- $22.41
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Michelle Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Current value
- $50.1
- Potential payout
- $52
- Potential profit
- $1.9
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.7%
- Current value
- $42.77
- Potential payout
- $51.13
- Potential profit
- $8.36
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$6.77
No position
Will Nancy Dahlstrom win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $50.57
- Potential payout
- $51
- Potential profit
- $0.43
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Current value
- $49.85
- Potential payout
- $51
- Potential profit
- $1.15
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
No position
StandX FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 92.8%
- Current value
- $47.33
- Potential payout
- $51
- Potential profit
- $3.67
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$1.33
No position
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.7%
- Current value
- $45.71
- Potential payout
- $50.99
- Potential profit
- $5.28
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$2.88
No position
Will Jeff Bezos buy the Seattle Seahawks?
Ends Sep 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $23.64
- Potential payout
- $25.02
- Potential profit
- $1.38
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.13
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will We Continue the Change – Democratic Bulgaria (PP–DB) finish third in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.54
No position
Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.01
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.87
No position
Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $1.22
No position
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.22
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.14
No position
Will Iran strike Turkey by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.09
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 82%
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $1.07
No position
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $0.69
No position
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.66
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.51
Yes position
Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.51
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
Yes position
Will "XO, Kitty Season 3" be the top US Netflix show this week?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.42
No position
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.41
Yes position
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.34
No position
Over $4M committed to the Printr public sale?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will XRP reach $1.80 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will Ryan Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $0.06
Yes position
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 94.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.05
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?No 98.5% 22.45 shares
- Will "XO, Kitty Season 3" be the top US Netflix show this week?Yes 98.1% 22.13 shares