Polymarket Trader

ChilmarkGeneralStore

0x62382a696ff02a618d8e143d4f0067ad02ce57c8

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $588.66
Realized PnL: $2.97K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-04-16?

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.7K
Potential profit: $9.7K
User PnL: -$9.7

Yes position

Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $32.5
Potential payout: $4.33K
Potential profit: $4.3K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$17.5

Yes position

Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $22
Potential payout: $1.76K
Potential profit: $1.74K
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$27.77

Yes position

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 6.1%
Current value: $68.75
Potential payout: $1.14K
Potential profit: $1.07K
Multiplier: 16.53x
User PnL: $18.75

No position

Will France advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $3.34
Potential payout: $834.45
Potential profit: $831.11
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: -$21.66

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.4%
Current value: $28.73
Potential payout: $452.4
Potential profit: $423.67
Multiplier: 15.75x
User PnL: $3.73

Yes position

Will Newcastle be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $294.61
Potential profit: $294.61
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 7.8%
Current value: $21.27
Potential payout: $272.72
Potential profit: $251.44
Multiplier: 12.82x
User PnL: -$3.73

Yes position

Will Jasmine Crockett and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $256.92
Potential profit: $256.92
User PnL: -$10

No position

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $146.25
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $103.75
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: -$53.75

Yes position

Will Uzbekistan reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 5.1%
Current value: $9.62
Potential payout: $190.51
Potential profit: $180.89
Multiplier: 19.80x
User PnL: $1.43

Yes position

Antoine Semenyo: 2+ goals

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $137.5
Potential profit: $137.5
User PnL: -$11

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.8%
Current value: $16.02
Potential payout: $136.36
Potential profit: $120.34
Multiplier: 8.51x
User PnL: $1.02

No position

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $124.67
Potential payout: $133.33
Potential profit: $8.67
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $24.67

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $64.38
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $60.63
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: $14.38

Yes position

Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Leeds be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $110.43
Potential profit: $110.43
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will Portugal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 4.9%
Current value: $4.85
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $95.15
Multiplier: 20.62x
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will Trump say "Kamikaze" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $98.04
Potential profit: $98.04
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Cristiano Ronaldo score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $20.45
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $70.45
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: $0.45

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.6%
Current value: $10.84
Potential payout: $86.34
Potential profit: $75.5
Multiplier: 7.97x
User PnL: $0.84

Yes position

Will North Macedonia win on 2026-03-26?

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $83.33
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will England score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 3, 2026

Implied probability: 18%
Current value: $15
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $68.33
Multiplier: 5.56x
User PnL: -$0

No position

Will Trump say "Fake News" during events in Rockland County?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $75
Potential profit: $75
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $400.92

Yes position

2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 65-104

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $217.86

Yes position

Will Kamala say "JD" or "Vance" at debate?

Ends Sep 10, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $182.56

Yes position

2024 October hottest on record?

Ends Oct 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $174.34

Yes position

Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $167.45

No position

Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 7+ times during events with South African President on May 21?

Ends May 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $158.33

No position

Will Donald Trump say "Reagan" during his North Carolina speech?

Ends Sep 25, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $132.01

Yes position

Will Tottenham win on 2025-05-21?

Ends May 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $122.41

Yes position

Will Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.06

No position

Will Trump say "Tammy Baldwin" during Wisconsin rally on Nov 1?

Ends Nov 1, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.85

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?

Ends Jun 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98.26

Yes position

Will an EU nation recognize Syrian government by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.14

Yes position

Will Republicans control 220 seats in the House after the election?

Ends Dec 17, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95.02

No position

Will JD Vance clap 100 times or more during the State of the Union?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92.5

Yes position

Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $90.13

Yes position

Will PSG vs. Tottenham end in a draw?

Ends Aug 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.26

Yes position

Will Karoline Leavitt say Tulsi or Gabbard during next White House press briefing?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85

No position

Will Pelosi say "Donald" or "Trump" 3 or more times at DNC speech?

Ends Aug 21, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.44

No position

More EU sanctions on Russia by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.33

Yes position

Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $80.8

Yes position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.99

No position

Will Donald Trump say "Springfield" during his Michigan town hall?

Ends Sep 17, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.17

No position

Will Vance say "Walz" during Detroit rally on October 8?

Ends Oct 8, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77

No position

Conservatives win majority in Canadian election?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.24

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Portugal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 5% 100 shares
Will Lautaro Martínez score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 20% 50 shares
Will Cristiano Ronaldo score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 22% 90.91 shares
Will England score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 18% 83.33 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8% 87.71 shares
Antoine Semenyo: 2+ goals

Yes 8% 137.5 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 11.6% 86.34 shares
Harry Kane: 2+ goals

Yes 14% 71.43 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 11% 45.45 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 11.4% 87.72 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 11% 90.91 shares
Will France advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 3% 834.45 shares