No position
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82%
- Current value
- $100
- Potential payout
- $121.95
- Potential profit
- $21.95
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $0
Polymarket Trader
astroturfer.eth
0x62424e8203aaba0513bf6959adadb1aeaed55cfb
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $100
- Realized PnL
- -$1.42K
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 9
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Biden finish his term?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $220
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $156.41
Something position
Nothing Ever Happens: February
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $132.56
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris be the Democratic Presidential Nominee?
Ends Aug 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.38
No position
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.31
Yes position
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will the HBO documentary identify Len Sassaman as Satoshi?
Ends Oct 15, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$499.99
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.46K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?No 82% 121.95 shares
- Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?Yes 15.4% 323.69 shares
- Nothing Ever Happens: FebruarySomething 43% 232.56 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?No 81.1% 123.31 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?No 81.1% 123.38 shares
- US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes 39% 256.41 shares
- Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes 44.8% 1,691.25 shares
- Will the HBO documentary identify Len Sassaman as Satoshi?Yes 9% 5,555.56 shares
- Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes 46.4% 1,077.59 shares
- Will Biden finish his term?Yes 60% 550 shares
- Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes 33.4% 600 shares
- Will Kamala Harris be the Democratic Presidential Nominee?Yes 93% 500 shares