Polymarket Trader

fcwl

0x6243d0b16c5030dbddaa5a51d9134337d1c3e014

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $57.75
Realized PnL: $1.38K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $2.72
Potential payout: $605
Potential profit: $602.28
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$2.12

Yes position

Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.3
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $599.7
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $4.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $495.75
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$1.75

Yes position

Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $1.75
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $498.25
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $11.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $488.75
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: $3.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C or higher on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.51
Potential payout: $340.18
Potential profit: $339.67
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$2.71

Over position

Spain vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 0.5

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $319.59
Potential profit: $319.59
User PnL: -$262.57

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $4.21
Potential payout: $255
Potential profit: $250.79
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$1.15

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $3.63
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $246.38
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: $0.88

Yes position

Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.81
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $124.19
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$0.19

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.8%
Current value: $11.75
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $88.25
Multiplier: 8.51x
User PnL: $3.05

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $5.65
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $94.35
Multiplier: 17.70x
User PnL: $0.45

Yes position

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $1.55
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $98.45
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.69
Potential payout: $86.11
Potential profit: $85.42
Multiplier: 125.00x
User PnL: -$0.43

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55
Potential profit: $55
User PnL: -$0.28

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$1.3

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.7%
Current value: $2
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $28.01
Multiplier: 15.04x
User PnL: -$0.76

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $1.18
Potential payout: $29.99
Potential profit: $28.81
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.9%
Current value: $0.95
Potential payout: $24.39
Potential profit: $23.44
Multiplier: 25.64x
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 4.2%
Current value: $0.98
Potential payout: $23.5
Potential profit: $22.52
Multiplier: 24.10x
User PnL: -$0.95

Yes position

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $1.01
Potential payout: $23.26
Potential profit: $22.25
Multiplier: 23.04x
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $1.01
Potential payout: $20.41
Potential profit: $19.4
Multiplier: 20.20x
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$1.3

Yes position

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 9.8%
Current value: $1.56
Potential payout: $15.87
Potential profit: $14.32
Multiplier: 10.20x
User PnL: $0.56

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $129.65

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 4?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $109.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C or below on May 9?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.74

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on May 2?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.11

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on May 29?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.09

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C or below on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.25

No position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.46

No position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on May 30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.14

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.12

Yes position

Will Hong Kong have between 160-170mm of precipitation in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.56

No position

Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.66

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C or below on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $46.88

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 73°F or below on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.27

Yes position

Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.66

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.46

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on April 16?

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.23

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on May 12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.47

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 23?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.87

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on May 4?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.4

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on May 7?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.03

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on April 23?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.79

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on May 2?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.65

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.55

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 18?

Yes 1.7% 14.12 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 18?

Yes 41% 19.38 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 18?

Yes 47% 19.38 shares
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 18?

Yes 1.9% 10 shares
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C or higher on June 18?

Yes 0.5% 146.63 shares
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on June 18?

Yes 14% 18.5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on June 18?

Yes 15% 8 shares
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C or higher on June 18?

Yes 0.9% 121.18 shares
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 18?

Yes 2.1% 48 shares
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C or higher on June 18?

Yes 1% 300 shares
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C or higher on June 18?

Yes 0.9% 140 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on June 17?

Yes 98% 200 shares