b3eakheart

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $5.36
Potential payout: $10.72K
Potential profit: $10.71K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$9.49

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $2.5
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.59K
Potential profit: $4.59K
User PnL: -$4.59

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.98
Potential payout: $3.95K
Potential profit: $3.95K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.98

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on June 23?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $985.99
Potential profit: $985.99
User PnL: -$6.63

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.99
Potential payout: $394.47
Potential profit: $393.49
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$16.51

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C or below on June 24?

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $107.18
Potential payout: $152.03
Potential profit: $44.85
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: $7.18

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $24.7
Potential payout: $60.98
Potential profit: $36.28
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: -$0.3

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C or below on June 23?

Implied probability: 4.2%
Current value: $2.33
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $53.22
Multiplier: 23.81x
User PnL: -$2.67

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on June 23?

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $18.58
Potential payout: $43.72
Potential profit: $25.14
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$1.42

No position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $24.79
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $16.88
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: -$0.21

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $1.02
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $38.98
Multiplier: 39.37x
User PnL: -$3.14

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 34.5%
Current value: $13.4
Potential payout: $38.85
Potential profit: $25.45
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: -$1.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.09
Potential payout: $35
Potential profit: $34.91
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$1.38

No position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 23?

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $12.97
Potential payout: $31.25
Potential profit: $18.28
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: $2.97

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $2.8
Potential payout: $29.49
Potential profit: $26.69
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $2.65
Potential payout: $27.89
Potential profit: $25.24
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$1.12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C or below on June 24?

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $4.55
Potential payout: $27.58
Potential profit: $23.03
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$0.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $26.32
Potential profit: $26.3
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.99

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 86-87°F on June 23?

Implied probability: 67.5%
Current value: $16.07
Potential payout: $23.81
Potential profit: $7.74
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: $1.07

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $21.74
Potential profit: $21.7
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$4.96

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 22?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.74
Potential profit: $21.74
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 22?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.23
Potential profit: $19.23
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 99.8%
User PnL: $29.84

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.79

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 21?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.78

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.66

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 22?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.9

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.82

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 21?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.89

No position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on June 22?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.75

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 21?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.18

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 22?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.93

No position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.91

No position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on June 22?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.24

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on June 22?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.13

No position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.84

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 22?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.66

No position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on June 22?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.49

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on June 22?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.32

No position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on June 22?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.32

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 86-87°F on June 22?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.22

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 22?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 22?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.08

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 22?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.83

No position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on June 23?