Polymarket Trader

batr15

0x625b2287e41f87b3023b78cd863a86e5442d3a3e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $109.47
Realized PnL: $193.01
Win rate: 79.2%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $61.22
Potential payout: $81.08
Potential profit: $19.86
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $1.22

Yes position

Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $48.26
Potential payout: $57.79
Potential profit: $9.54
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $3.76

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.65
Potential profit: $30.65
User PnL: -$19

Yes position

Cristiano Ronaldo: 3+ goals

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$6

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.09

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.06

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.26

Yes position

Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.68

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.99

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.96

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.42

Yes position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.67

Yes position

Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.12

Yes position

Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.51

Yes position

Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.9

Canada position

Men's Semifinals - Canada vs. Finland

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.64

Yes position

Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the February decision?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.6

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.15

Yes position

Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.9

Yes position

Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.22

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.08

Yes position

Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Trump say "Great Wall" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.5

No position

Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 4, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.63

Yes position

Will Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.65

No position

Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 5, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.66

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?

Yes 77% 57.79 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 98% 41.66 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 24% 41.67 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 47.8% 105.26 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 19% 105.26 shares
Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?

Yes 74% 81.08 shares
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?

Yes 62% 30.65 shares
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?

Yes 52% 28.85 shares
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?

Yes 74% 34.69 shares
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?

Yes 49% 34.69 shares
Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?

Yes 73% 98.77 shares
Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?

Yes 81% 98.77 shares