No position
Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.4%
- Current value
- $5.06K
- Potential payout
- $5.92K
- Potential profit
- $864.53
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$812.29
Polymarket Trader
pulgarcito23
0x62614941e83ed27ab1b6ff7c81207b16f4682e11
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $23.25K
- Realized PnL
- $691.93
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 16
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 69%
- Current value
- $3.69K
- Potential payout
- $5.35K
- Potential profit
- $1.66K
- Multiplier
- 1.45x
- User PnL
- -$1.07K
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.2%
- Current value
- $3.79K
- Potential payout
- $5.25K
- Potential profit
- $1.46K
- Multiplier
- 1.39x
- User PnL
- -$377.81
No position
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $216 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.1%
- Current value
- $3.79K
- Potential payout
- $4.17K
- Potential profit
- $370.72
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$215.67
No position
Will USD be less than 1.5M Iranian rials on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.6%
- Current value
- $2.25K
- Potential payout
- $3.33K
- Potential profit
- $1.08K
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- -$385.33
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.9%
- Current value
- $2.5K
- Potential payout
- $3.05K
- Potential profit
- $553.38
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- -$338.51
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $1.18K
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $75.28
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $50.18
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $90 on the final trading day of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.3%
- Current value
- $679.73
- Potential payout
- $713.63
- Potential profit
- $33.9
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $17.83
No position
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $236.03
- Potential payout
- $253.8
- Potential profit
- $17.77
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $3.01
No position
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol B win on 2026-05-11?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $75
- Potential profit
- $75
- User PnL
- -$53.25
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,900 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $49.43
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $0.58
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.98
Yes position
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $0.19
- Potential payout
- $16.95
- Potential profit
- $16.75
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- -$0.81
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Current value
- $4.21
- Potential payout
- $11.24
- Potential profit
- $7.02
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- -$5.79
Yes position
No one announced as next James Bond?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95%
- Current value
- $9.97
- Potential payout
- $10.49
- Potential profit
- $0.52
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.42
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $5.86
- Potential payout
- $6.26
- Potential profit
- $0.41
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.41
No position
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $280 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 79%
- Current value
- $4.39
- Potential payout
- $5.56
- Potential profit
- $1.17
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- -$0.61
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $264.02
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- $196.25
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $113.72
No position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $81.23
Yes position
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.95
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.25
Kansas City Royals position
Kansas City Royals vs. St. Louis Cardinals
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.05
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.05
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.24
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.86
Yes position
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.6
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.3
No position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- User PnL
- $1.11
No position
Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1
No position
Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.74
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.71
Yes position
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $312 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.67
No position
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.65
Yes position
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $304 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.64
No position
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.54
No position
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 36%
- Multiplier
- 2.78x
- User PnL
- $0.47
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- $0.46
No position
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?No 94% 497 shares
- Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?No 94.8% 237.56 shares
- Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?No 94% 1,000 shares
- Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?No 94% 14 shares
- Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?No 94% 28 shares
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 4.5Under 80% 3,491.3 shares
- Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?No 91.8% 253.8 shares
- Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?No 94% 40 shares
- Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?No 94% 10 shares
- Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?No 94% 31.42 shares
- Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?No 94% 158.46 shares
- Will France win on 2026-06-16?Yes 67% 4,464.57 shares