Polymarket Trader

jjjy14

0x626203bc376657a326993496787a4ffab4da09bb

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $121.89
Realized PnL: $165.97
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.4%
Current value: $50.77
Potential payout: $51.6
Potential profit: $0.83
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $41.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $8.75
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: -$4.75

Yes position

Sharjah announces secession from UAE by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$1

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $48
Potential profit: $48
User PnL: -$45.12

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $29.87
Potential payout: $33
Potential profit: $3.14
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $1.48

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 4?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.69

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.6

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 29?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.5

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Pistons

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.83

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.79

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.2

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 20?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.12

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.01

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.84

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 12?

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.6

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on March 16?

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.2

No position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.08

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 1AM ET

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.98

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.98

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.84

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.4T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.76

No position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.68

No position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.67

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?

No 84% 20 shares
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

No 99.9% 19 shares
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

No 98.3% 19 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

No 84% 50 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Yes 33% 49.99 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 14?

Up 61% 50 shares
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?

No 5% 79.99 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET

Down 99.9% 78.84 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET

Down 80% 77.7 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET

Down 99% 80 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET

Down 93% 49.5 shares
Wuning: Alastair Gray vs Yasutaka Uchiyama

Alastair Gray 91.7% 9.95 shares