Polymarket Trader

Aquati

0x62648c452ccf7fd55240719c5ffd730c2cb89937

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.79K
Realized PnL: $32.67K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16%
Current value: $400
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.1K
Multiplier: 6.25x
User PnL: -$928.99

No position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.6%
Current value: $1.91K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $89
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $291

No position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 60.9%
Current value: $304.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $195.75
Multiplier: 1.64x
User PnL: $0.85

No position

Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.9%
Current value: $95.9
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $4.1
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $8.7

Yes position

Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.4%
Current value: $4.2
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $45.8
Multiplier: 11.90x
User PnL: -$7.52

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 25.8%
Current value: $12.88
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $37.13
Multiplier: 3.88x
User PnL: $2.77

No position

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $50
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $15.5

Yes position

Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $4.35
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $25.65
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$2.85

No position

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $6.25
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $3.75
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: $0.15

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Yoon arrested by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.53K

Yes position

Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.99K

Yes position

Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.56K

Yes position

Yoon out as president of South Korea before May?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.53K

Yes position

Yoon arrested by Friday?

Ends Jan 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.01K

Yes position

US military action against Iran before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.76K

No position

Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.53K

Yes position

Energy infrastructure ceasefire in Ukraine in March?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.47K

Yes position

Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.36K

Yes position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.27K

Yes position

Israel military response against Iran in October?

Ends Oct 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.16K

Yes position

Will an EU nation recognize Syrian government by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $824.48

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $764.05

No position

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $709.52

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $643.32

Yes position

Yoon released from custody before March?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $642.29

Yes position

ICC arrest warrant for Netanyahu before inauguration?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $607.1

No position

Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech?

Ends Feb 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $555.5

No position

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza in May?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $523.33

No position

Will Assad remain President of Syria through 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $493.32

No position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $460.55

No position

Pakistan air/missile strike on Indian soil by Friday?

Ends May 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $447.17

No position

Yoon arrested by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $432.49

Yes position

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Ends Sep 30, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $404.94

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Bulgaria be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?

Yes 65% 50 shares
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

No 60.8% 400 shares
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 20.2% 50 shares
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

No 17.5% 600 shares
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 30, 2026?

Yes 82% 10 shares
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 30, 2026?

Yes 82% 20 shares
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

Yes 66.7% 10 shares
Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

Yes 24% 30 shares
US strike on Cuba by December 31?

No 61% 10 shares
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?

No 69% 50 shares
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

No 18.1% 300 shares
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?

Yes 56% 50 shares