Polymarket Trader

Edje25

0x6268011cdc123d7ab44cabdef70b7a571f286031

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $398.81
Realized PnL: $3.87K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $81.55
Potential payout: $5.44K
Potential profit: $5.35K
Multiplier: 66.67x
User PnL: $21

Yes position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $6.74
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.49K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: $0.75

No position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.51
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $1.01K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.66

Yes position

Cuban regime falls in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 18%
Current value: $154.8
Potential payout: $859.99
Potential profit: $705.2
Multiplier: 5.56x
User PnL: $25.85

Yes position

Will Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.75
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $499.25
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.25

No position

Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $499.75
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.75

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 15%+?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $15.93
Potential payout: $450
Potential profit: $434.07
Multiplier: 28.25x
User PnL: -$0.27

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $9.61
Potential payout: $392.31
Potential profit: $382.7
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: -$0.59

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $3.75
Potential payout: $277.78
Potential profit: $274.03
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$1.25

Yes position

Will Dinorah Figuera be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $4.38
Potential payout: $204.46
Potential profit: $200.08
Multiplier: 46.73x
User PnL: $1.92

Yes position

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $2.1
Potential payout: $200.01
Potential profit: $197.91
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: $0.3

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.4%
Current value: $12.21
Potential payout: $192.31
Potential profit: $180.1
Multiplier: 15.75x
User PnL: $2.21

Yes position

US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.7%
Current value: $5.55
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $144.45
Multiplier: 27.03x
User PnL: -$0.85

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.7%
Current value: $20.25
Potential payout: $148.32
Potential profit: $128.08
Multiplier: 7.33x
User PnL: -$4.75

Yes position

Starmer out by June 22, 2026?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $23.12
Potential payout: $124.99
Potential profit: $101.87
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: $3.09

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.7%
Current value: $24.41
Potential payout: $124.22
Potential profit: $99.81
Multiplier: 5.09x
User PnL: $4.41

Yes position

Will Fernando Haddad finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $1.85
Potential payout: $100.01
Potential profit: $98.16
Multiplier: 54.05x
User PnL: -$0.65

Yes position

Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $100.01
Potential profit: $99.01
Multiplier: 100.00x
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.3%
Current value: $3.25
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $96.75
Multiplier: 30.77x
User PnL: $1.15

Yes position

Will Delia Velculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $1.35
Potential payout: $96.2
Potential profit: $94.85
Multiplier: 71.43x
User PnL: $0.58

Yes position

Will George Simion be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $1.27
Potential payout: $94.06
Potential profit: $92.79
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: $0.89

Yes position

Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested before 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 22%
Current value: $19.36
Potential payout: $87.98
Potential profit: $68.62
Multiplier: 4.55x
User PnL: -$2.92

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 6.8%
Current value: $3.59
Potential payout: $53.13
Potential profit: $49.54
Multiplier: 14.81x
User PnL: $0.85

Yes position

Will Camilo Santana finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $1.25
Potential payout: $50.01
Potential profit: $48.76
Multiplier: 40.00x
User PnL: -$0.15

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Maduro out by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $674.53

Yes position

US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $532.66

Yes position

US forces in Venezuela by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $303

Yes position

Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $271.08

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $247.63

Yes position

Will Nicolás Maduro be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $241.79

Yes position

U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $210.41

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on January 14, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $184.71

Yes position

Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $121.04

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $112.83

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $107.93

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?

Ends Jan 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $106.54

Yes position

Will Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $92.39

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.45

No position

US/Israel strike Yemen by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.41

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $74.25

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?

Ends Jan 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $62.81

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $59.55

Yes position

Maduro in U.S. custody by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $53.85

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 10?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $50.6

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $49.28

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $47.58

Yes position

Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $46.22

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.21

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

No 20.2% 17.18 shares
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

No 23% 32.82 shares
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?

No 14.2% 47.39 shares
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?

No 12.8% 75 shares
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

No 1.1% 15 shares
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?

Yes 1.3% 63 shares
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?

Yes 1.1% 1,436.67 shares
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 3.7% 200 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Yes 25% 9.43 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Yes 9% 25.62 shares
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?

Yes 11% 20 shares
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?

Yes 3.5% 8.9 shares