No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $736.58
- Potential payout
- $805
- Potential profit
- $68.42
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $60.88
Polymarket Trader
0x626839183392EAd626A086CAD8069E7041Cc42FC-1765485224498
0x626839183392ead626a086cad8069e7041cc42fc
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $736.58
- Realized PnL
- $211.47
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $113.52
- Potential profit
- $113.52
- User PnL
- -$12
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $63.32
- Potential profit
- $63.32
- User PnL
- -$12.03
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $46.21
- Potential profit
- $46.21
- User PnL
- -$6
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $31.11
- Potential profit
- $31.11
- User PnL
- -$6
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.22
- Potential profit
- $22.22
- User PnL
- -$2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.29
- Potential profit
- $14.29
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.89
- Potential profit
- $1.89
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will any Google Gemini 3 model score at least 1500 on LMArena by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $115.49
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.49
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.68
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.4
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.49
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.11
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.08
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.28
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.06
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.99
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $2.96
No position
Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $2.61
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.4
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.39
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.93
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.92
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.31
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.13
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.06
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:45PM-6:50PM ETUp 15% 16.66 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:45PM-6:50PM ETUp 6% 16.67 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:20PM-7:25PM ETUp 3% 33.33 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:20PM-7:25PM ETUp 5% 20 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:20PM-7:25PM ETUp 22% 4.55 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:20PM-7:25PM ETUp 28% 3.57 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:20PM-7:25PM ETUp 34% 14.71 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:15PM-7:20PM ETUp 36% 4 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:15PM-7:20PM ETUp 25% 4 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:15PM-7:20PM ETDown 57% 14.74 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:15PM-7:20PM ETDown 32% 3.13 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:15PM-7:20PM ETDown 38% 11.62 shares