Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $5.63
- Potential payout
- $750
- Potential profit
- $744.38
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$24.38
Polymarket Trader
0x626cCF6987d298836e7249F3E275beC1921FE2FC-1774850033895
0x626ccf6987d298836e7249f3e275bec1921fe2fc
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $97.94
- Realized PnL
- $715.12
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $592.83
- Potential profit
- $592.83
- User PnL
- -$13.62
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.2%
- Current value
- $64.21
- Potential payout
- $528.49
- Potential profit
- $464.28
- Multiplier
- 8.23x
- User PnL
- -$63.79
Yes position
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $357
- Potential profit
- $357
- User PnL
- -$67.83
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $338.89
- Potential profit
- $338.89
- User PnL
- -$61
Yes position
Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $28.1
- Potential payout
- $295.79
- Potential profit
- $267.69
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$21.9
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $287.47
- Potential profit
- $287.47
- User PnL
- -$82.35
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $153.06
- Potential profit
- $153.06
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $106.92
- Potential profit
- $106.92
- User PnL
- -$26.73
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $73.8
- Potential profit
- $73.8
- User PnL
- -$26.95
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.28
- Potential profit
- $21.28
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $388.23
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $179.67
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.23
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.63
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.34
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.53
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.9
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.8
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.42
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.27
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.26
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.02
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.94
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.81
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.13
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.04
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.96
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.7
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.61
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.61
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Yes 19% 357 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?Yes 4% 750 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 19% 252.63 shares
- Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?Yes 16.9% 295.79 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 29% 275.86 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 83.9% 333.33 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 30% 333.33 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes 47% 21.28 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?Yes 2.3% 592.83 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Yes 9.8% 153.06 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 37.2% 102.56 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?Yes 18% 338.89 shares