NotTheSharpestTool

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $781.76
Potential payout: $14.21K
Potential profit: $13.43K
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$340.24

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in June?

Implied probability: 3%
Current value: $115.25
Potential payout: $3.91K
Potential profit: $3.79K
Multiplier: 33.90x
User PnL: -$138.98

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Implied probability: 92.1%
Current value: $2.31K
Potential payout: $2.51K
Potential profit: $199.84
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $311.73

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$247.36

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $6.19
Potential payout: $2.48K
Potential profit: $2.47K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$5.19

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $1.89K
Potential payout: $2.29K
Potential profit: $400.25
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $107.19

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $1.2K
Potential payout: $1.94K
Potential profit: $748.5
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: $70.85

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June?

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $15.78
Potential payout: $1.86K
Potential profit: $1.84K
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$87.04

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $42.98
Potential payout: $1.83K
Potential profit: $1.79K
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: -$11.57

Yes position

Will XRP reach $1.60 in June?

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $53.66
Potential payout: $1.76K
Potential profit: $1.71K
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: -$7.92

Yes position

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $122.48
Potential payout: $1.75K
Potential profit: $1.63K
Multiplier: 14.29x
User PnL: -$73.91

Yes position

Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.28K
Potential profit: $1.28K
User PnL: -$432.43

Yes position

Will XRP reach $1.40 in June?

Implied probability: 19%
Current value: $206.76
Potential payout: $1.09K
Potential profit: $881.45
Multiplier: 5.26x
User PnL: $74.43

Yes position

Will Solana reach $90 in June?

Implied probability: 7.8%
Current value: $79.59
Potential payout: $1.03K
Potential profit: $947.33
Multiplier: 12.90x
User PnL: $33.75

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in June?

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $7.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $992.5
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Will Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.47
Potential payout: $937.38
Potential profit: $936.91
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$626.62

No position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $495.75
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $4.25
User PnL: $31.75

Yes position

Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $483.82
Potential profit: $483.82
User PnL: -$207.72

Yes position

Will Benjamin Netanyahu attend UFC Freedom 250?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $359
Potential profit: $359
User PnL: -$1.59

No position

Will JD Vance enter Iran by June 30?

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $347.55
Potential payout: $350
Potential profit: $2.45
User PnL: $9.8

Yes position

Will Jake Paul attend UFC Freedom 250?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $338.58
Potential profit: $338.58
User PnL: -$36.81

Yes position

Will XRP reach $1.80 in June?

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $4.1
Potential payout: $303.8
Potential profit: $299.7
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$3.02

Yes position

Will Oscar Piastri get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $284.32
Potential profit: $284.32
User PnL: -$24.6

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Implied probability: 17.5%
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: $5.13K

Yes position

Will Rick Jackson win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $271.11

Yes position

Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $251.74

Yes position

Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by June 15?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108.6

No position

Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.51

No position

Will Elon Musk attend UFC Freedom 250?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.37

Yes position

Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by June 5?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.52

No position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Implied probability: 8%
Multiplier: 12.58x
User PnL: $44.77

Yes position

Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $42.76

Yes position

Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $30.93

No position

Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30

Yes position

Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $24.85

No position

Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.81

Yes position

Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.96

Yes position

Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.65

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 55.5%
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: $9.08

Yes position

Will Charles Leclerc achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.16

No position

Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.2

No position

Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.25

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.32

No position

Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.71

No position

Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.83

No position

Will Oscar Piastri finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2

Yes position

Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?