0x62829a9718aaffbA69a9Db91d4A56aD0a622AaAB-1780064963998

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.32
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $90.59
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$19.68

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $90.86
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$19.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $89.81
Potential profit: $89.81
User PnL: -$18.86

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $89.06
Potential profit: $89.06
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on July 1?

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $16.09
Potential payout: $86.96
Potential profit: $70.87
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: -$3.91

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 1?

Implied probability: 12%
Current value: $10.43
Potential payout: $86.96
Potential profit: $76.52
Multiplier: 8.33x
User PnL: -$9.57

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on July 1?

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $16.96
Potential payout: $86.96
Potential profit: $70
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$3.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 12?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $85.08
Potential profit: $85.08
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on June 1?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.15
Potential profit: $83.15
User PnL: -$16.63

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 14?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $82.31
Potential profit: $82.31
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $1.73
Potential payout: $81.02
Potential profit: $79.29
Multiplier: 46.73x
User PnL: -$18.27

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 14?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $80
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $80
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on June 13?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $76.92
Potential profit: $76.92
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $76.92
Potential profit: $76.88
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$19.96

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on July 1?

Implied probability: 28%
Current value: $20.74
Potential payout: $74.07
Potential profit: $53.33
Multiplier: 3.57x
User PnL: $0.74

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $74.07
Potential profit: $74.07
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $71.43
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on July 1?

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $16.79
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $54.64
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$3.21

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 51%
Current value: $36.43
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $35
Multiplier: 1.96x
User PnL: $16.43

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $68.97
Potential profit: $68.97
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 14?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $68.97
Potential profit: $68.97
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $64.86
Potential profit: $64.86
User PnL: -$14.52

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on June 1?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $64.84
Potential profit: $64.84
User PnL: -$19.61

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on June 1?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.88

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 97.1%
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $60.82

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.65

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on June 12?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.81

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 97.9%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $46

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on June 12?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.93

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 12?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.87

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 99.8%
User PnL: $41.87

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.86

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on June 14?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on June 13?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.23

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 14?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.97

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.66

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.51

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.24

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on June 13?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 13?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on June 13?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.75

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on June 1?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.49

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on June 14?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.49

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.49

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.39

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on June 17?