Polymarket Trader

a4deficoder

0x62bd8b3ccac59206c17ce7b8875463e67939185a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $85.86
Realized PnL: $669.97
Win rate: 62.5%
Open positions: 2
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $85.86
Potential payout: $109.38
Potential profit: $23.52
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $50.86

No position

Nothing Ever Happens: May

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.55
Potential profit: $4.55
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $542.35

Yes position

Will 'A Minecraft Movie' gross between $370-385m by April 30?

Ends May 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100.1

Yes position

Will the Eagles win the NFC Championship?

Ends Jan 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.93

Team Falcons position

Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group B

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

Over position

Senators vs. Panthers: O/U 7.5

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.88

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.79

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 10, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.22

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 9, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.19

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 7, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

Yes position

Will Anthony Albanese lose his seat?

Ends May 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 6, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 8, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 3?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 3?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will 'A Minecraft Movie' gross more than $415m by April 30?

Ends May 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.79

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 14?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6.75

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$9.42

Yes position

Will 'A Minecraft Movie' gross between $400-415m by April 30?

Ends May 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$9.5

No position

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10.68

Yes position

Will the Vikings win the NFC Championship?

Ends Jan 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10.95

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$11.22

Over position

Games Total: O/U 4.5

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$11.59

Yes position

Will the Packers win the NFC Championship?

Ends Jan 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$12.84

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

No 32% 109.38 shares
Will Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?

Yes 80% 136.22 shares
Will Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?

Yes 80.1% 136.22 shares
Will Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?

Yes 80.2% 90.81 shares
Will Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?

Yes 80.8% 121.08 shares
Will Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?

Yes 20.6% 484.34 shares
Will Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?

Yes 16.9% 819.09 shares
Will Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?

Yes 17.3% 1,590 shares
Will Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?

Yes 20% 60 shares
Will Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?

Yes 20.1% 95 shares
Will Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?

Yes 7.5% 2,564.09 shares
Senators vs. Panthers: O/U 7.5

Over 99.9% 17.89 shares