Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 16.2%
- Current value
- $12.12K
- Potential payout
- $75.05K
- Potential profit
- $62.93K
- Multiplier
- 6.19x
- User PnL
- -$25.41K
Polymarket Trader
eCash
0x62cf46cd4c3af254dccfc37a7f93de265b4b5826
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $254.84K
- Realized PnL
- $521.92K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 83.9%
- Current value
- $62.93K
- Potential payout
- $75.05K
- Potential profit
- $12.12K
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $25.41K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $26.88K
- Potential payout
- $27.03K
- Potential profit
- $148.67
- User PnL
- $5.12K
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $24.96K
- Potential payout
- $25.2K
- Potential profit
- $239.43
- User PnL
- $548.39
No position
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $22.18K
- Potential payout
- $23.85K
- Potential profit
- $1.67K
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $7.11K
No position
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $22.51K
- Potential payout
- $22.75K
- Potential profit
- $238.84
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $432.15
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $20.1K
- Potential payout
- $22.21K
- Potential profit
- $2.11K
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $4.7K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $20.13K
- Potential payout
- $20.16K
- Potential profit
- $30.25
- User PnL
- $2.77K
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $5.72K
- Potential payout
- $14.49K
- Potential profit
- $8.77K
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- -$5.37K
Yes position
Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.73K
- Potential profit
- $13.73K
- User PnL
- -$4.99K
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.7K
- Potential profit
- $11.7K
- User PnL
- -$2.88K
Yes position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.95K
- Potential profit
- $9.95K
- User PnL
- -$2.35K
No position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $6.44K
- Potential payout
- $7.28K
- Potential profit
- $837.19
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $867.7
No position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.6%
- Current value
- $6.21K
- Potential payout
- $6.5K
- Potential profit
- $289.25
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $1.06K
No position
Will Rebecca Shepherd finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Current value
- $5.85K
- Potential payout
- $6K
- Potential profit
- $153
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $78
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $4.92K
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $77.5
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $592.5
No position
Netanyahu out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $3.47K
- Potential payout
- $3.49K
- Potential profit
- $20.92
- User PnL
- $63.7
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.2%
- Current value
- $2.53K
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $474.24
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $883.15
No position
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 63%
- Current value
- $1.57K
- Potential payout
- $2.49K
- Potential profit
- $919.9
- Multiplier
- 1.59x
- User PnL
- $298.36
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $2.13K
- Potential payout
- $2.16K
- Potential profit
- $24.8
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $488.33
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $2.02K
- Potential payout
- $2.03K
- Potential profit
- $9.12
- User PnL
- $477.45
No position
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $1.11K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $890
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- -$430
Yes position
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Current value
- $64.02
- Potential payout
- $1.07K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- Multiplier
- 16.67x
- User PnL
- -$888.24
No position
Trump out as President by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $992.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $7.5
- User PnL
- $3.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.84K
No position
Will Trump pardon Roger Ver in his first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.07K
Yes position
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.59K
Yes position
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.55K
No position
Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.44K
Yes position
Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?
Ends Dec 8, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.48K
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.13K
Yes position
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $27.11K
No position
Will Trump pardon Roger Ver in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.83K
No position
Will Victor Ponta win the Romanian presidential election?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.61K
Yes position
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.75K
Yes position
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.89K
Yes position
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?
Ends Dec 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.03K
Yes position
Will George Simion win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.46K
Yes position
Bitcoin above $120000 on August 13?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.37K
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.31K
Yes position
Georgescu banned from Romania election?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.79K
Yes position
Will Nicușor Dan win by 6–12%?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.27K
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $105k in May?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.81K
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $10.35K
Yes position
Will Anca Alexandrescu get between 20% and 25% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.23K
No position
Will Sydney Sweeney rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Actors of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.87K
Yes position
Bitcoin above $118000 on August 13?
Ends Aug 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.76K
Yes position
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.39K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 6% 14,131.23 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 86.1% 20,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 14% 2,312.02 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 13.9% 995.78 shares
- Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?No 0.1% 10,098.01 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No 96.7% 20.95 shares
- Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?No 90% 300 shares
- Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?No 93.1% 2,090 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 87% 50 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 95% 10,000 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 97.6% 237.38 shares
- Netanyahu out by June 30?No 97.2% 986.38 shares