No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.99K
- Potential profit
- $5.99K
- User PnL
- -$24.62
Polymarket Trader
simpsonsprediction
0x62daced8541785ee5f03003844e5032480c2326d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $16.6
- Realized PnL
- -$529.03
- Win rate
- 4.3%
- Open positions
- 15
- Closed positions
- 23
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Bulgaria be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.5K
- Potential profit
- $4.5K
- User PnL
- -$7
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get 50 million or more views on day 1?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$6.01
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.88K
- Potential profit
- $1.88K
- User PnL
- -$16.36
No position
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- User PnL
- -$3
Magic position
Magic vs. Pistons
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $1.1K
- User PnL
- -$88.15
Yes position
Will Vance shake hands with an Iranian official by June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $16.6
- Potential payout
- $1.04K
- Potential profit
- $1.02K
- Multiplier
- 62.50x
- User PnL
- $8.5
Yes position
Will Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $940
- Potential profit
- $940
- User PnL
- -$2.82
No position
Another Iranian diplomat expelled by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $745.65
- Potential profit
- $745.65
- User PnL
- -$9.39
No position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $715
- Potential profit
- $715
- User PnL
- -$1.43
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $659
- Potential profit
- $659
- User PnL
- -$1.32
Yes position
Enhanced Games: Men’s 50m Butterfly World Record Broken?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $462.72
- Potential profit
- $462.72
- User PnL
- -$8.92
Yes position
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $424
- Potential profit
- $424
- User PnL
- -$10.6
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $120
- User PnL
- -$1.2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 4.7%
- Multiplier
- 21.51x
- User PnL
- $158.64
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.51
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 3%
- Multiplier
- 33.90x
- User PnL
- -$1.08
Yes position
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.23
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$2.51
No position
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 15 and May 22?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.52
Yes position
Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.29
Y
Yes position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.33
No position
Will Putin visit China by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.5
Yes position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8.63
No position
Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$13.04
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 45 and 50 million views on day 1?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$13.33
Yes position
US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$15.1
Yes position
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$17.25
Yes position
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$17.5
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$17.94
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$21.76
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$25
No position
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$26.44
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$34.59
Raptors position
Raptors vs. Cavaliers
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$64.11
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$84.5
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$307.51
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Vance shake hands with an Iranian official by June 20?Yes 0.8% 1,037.24 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 2.6% 47.14 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 4.9% 47.14 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 4% 56.5 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 6% 56.5 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?Yes 0.1% 3,382.79 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?Yes 0.2% 3,440 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 5% 137.5 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 6% 137.5 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?Yes 1.1% 1,166.36 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?Yes 0.5% 710 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?Yes 0.2% 1,780 shares