No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $24.99
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $1.49
Polymarket Trader
ca074
0x62dc28028fa54ca32ffc5196affbb1ee82d738bb
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $61.39
- Realized PnL
- $215
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $14.03
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $0.97
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
StandX FDV above $5B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 95.6%
- Current value
- $12.42
- Potential payout
- $13
- Potential profit
- $0.58
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $1.05
No position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $9.96
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $1.05
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.83
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $107.45
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.6
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.09
No position
Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.66
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.22
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by February 28?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.68
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.48
No position
Fogo FDV above $700M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.77
No position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.66
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.52
No position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.09
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.65
No position
EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.65
Yes position
Over $2M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.6
No position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.39
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by January 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.32
No position
Another critical Cloudflare incident by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.17
Yes position
U.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08
No position
Opinion FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.99
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.99
Yes position
Will no player win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.98
No position
Backpack FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.77
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
No position
US forces enter Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?No 97.1% 15 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No 94% 25 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on IPO day?No 92.8% 29 shares
- Over $2M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?Yes 92% 19.97 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?No 60% 11 shares
- Will Unitree Robotics have robot dancers at the 2026 Spring Festival Gala?Yes 98.9% 30 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes 26% 50 shares
- Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 28, 2026?No 36.7% 1.46 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?No 98.1% 4,430.09 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?No 96.9% 330 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?No 96% 1,600 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?No 95.9% 156.98 shares