Polymarket Trader

lilian80

0x62e284561af2212e4832362beb11cf403e08fea6

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $258.88
Realized PnL: $13.34
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $40.1
Potential payout: $40.2
Potential profit: $0.1
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $40.06
Potential payout: $40.12
Potential profit: $0.06
User PnL: $0.06

No position

Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $40.04
Potential payout: $40.04
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $30.24
Potential payout: $30.24
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.24

No position

Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $30.05
Potential payout: $30.18
Potential profit: $0.14
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $30.03
Potential payout: $30.03
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $28.29
Potential payout: $28.29
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.08

No position

Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $20.07
Potential payout: $20.1
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: $0.07

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US inauguration on January 20?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.58

Yes position

Scroll airdrop in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.37

No position

Xi Jinping out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.65

No position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$14B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.86

Yes position

Will Apple be the second most valuable company on October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.81

No position

Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.74

No position

Will Microsoft be the second most valuable company on October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.6

No position

Farcaster airdrop in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.5

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.43

No position

Base airdrop in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.4

No position

Will Circle IPO in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.31

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.22

No position

Will Germany strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.22

No position

U.S. Recession in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.21

No position

Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.21

Yes position

Puffer airdrop in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Will Ethereum hit $10k in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.19

No position

Will Kraken IPO in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.17

No position

Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.14

No position

Will Canada strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

No position

Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

No position

MetaMask airdrop in Q1 2025?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Base airdrop in Q1 2025?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

Yes 99.2% 30.24 shares
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 99.7% 28.29 shares
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 99.5% 20.1 shares
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 99.4% 30.18 shares
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 99.5% 40.2 shares
Will BNB reach $1,100 in March?

No 99.9% 27.07 shares
Will BNB dip to $200 in March?

No 99.8% 20.04 shares
Will Germany strike Iran by March 31?

No 98.9% 20.22 shares
Will Canada strike Iran by March 31?

No 99.4% 20.12 shares
Will Jerome Powell be confirmed as Fed Chair?

No 99.8% 30.06 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

No 98.6% 30.43 shares
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 99.7% 40.12 shares