Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $11.25
- Potential payout
- $149.99
- Potential profit
- $138.74
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$92.24
Polymarket Trader
melonfisher
0x62fcc1961e90e9454536cc0c6835b4ea277fd8cc
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $260.85
- Realized PnL
- $8.75
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 3
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $99.95
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- User PnL
- $6.95
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $83.3
- Potential payout
- $85
- Potential profit
- $1.7
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $6.93
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $36.95
- Potential payout
- $39.95
- Potential profit
- $3
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $29.4
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $0.6
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the announcers say "VAR" during the Argentina vs Switzerland FIFA World Cup Match?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.6
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $1.4
Y
Yes position
Will the announcers say "Hot" or "Heat" during the Norway vs England FIFA World Cup Match?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on July 12?No 89% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on July 12?No 90.6% 20 shares
- Will the announcers say "VAR" during the Argentina vs Switzerland FIFA World Cup Match?Yes 91% 60 shares
- Will the announcers say "VAR" during the Argentina vs Switzerland FIFA World Cup Match?Yes 85% 10 shares
- Will the announcers say "VAR" during the Argentina vs Switzerland FIFA World Cup Match?Yes 79% 50 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 12?No 93% 100 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 12?Yes 91.8% 39.95 shares
- Will the announcers say "Hot" or "Heat" during the Norway vs England FIFA World Cup Match?Yes 92.5% 10 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 12?No 88% 30 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 12?Yes 69% 17.03 shares